MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2829e54da21fad5a71c6098094f8fdb28ede6071ec51211415514dc71677fbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pirates | 6c | 17,596$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.84 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Pirates | 27c | 17,369$4,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,610.29 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 61c | 16,667$10,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,419.3 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 31c | 6,750$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Brewers | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Pirates | 43c | 5,031$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 43c | 4,444$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.87 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 43c | 3,973$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.29 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Brewers | 57c | 3,816$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Brewers | 57c | 3,344$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.92 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 43c | 2,960$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.47 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Brewers | 57c | 2,812$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.53 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Pirates | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Brewers | 57c | 1,272$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.95 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Brewers | 63c | 1,124$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.65 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Brewers | 55c | 948.71$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.92 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pirates | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 45c | 893.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 57c | 701$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.43 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Brewers | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 42c | 539.82$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.72 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Brewers | 58c | 517.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Brewers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 41c | 508.47$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.47 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pirates | 43c | 500.08$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.03 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 57c | 496.73$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.48 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 40c | 495$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Pirates | 42c | 477$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 32c | 430.16$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 33c | 393.26$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 56c | 371.33$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.28 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Brewers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Brewers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Pirates | 43c | 329.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.89 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Brewers | 58c | 312.76$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.76 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…6dfabacked Brewers | 61c | 311$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Brewers | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Brewers | 57c | 298.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 44c | 294.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Brewers | 59c | 294.3$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Pirates | 43c | 286.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brewers | 78c | 269.19$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Brewers | 57c | 237.75$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 59c | 232.2$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 58c | 229$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Brewers | 60c | 224.65$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Brewers | 55c | 213.91$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Pirates | 35c | 200.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5daebacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…02fabacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…3068backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…963ebacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e84cbacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…6c96backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…d738backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…835abacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…55e1backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…f8bdbacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…9335backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…122dbacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…7ff0backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…d9d0backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…c60fbacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…f463backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…1430backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…5b89backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…fdfabacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…7beabacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…6b50backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…e04bbacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2206backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…1809backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…50adbacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…5a63backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…5866backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8825…d29ebacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…c4ddbacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…ae68backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf149…b05ebacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1a…feabbacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…8801backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…1d5ebacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brewers vs. Piratesthis page
- Brewers vs. Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Brewers (-1.5)Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.