TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blackhawksof Ducks, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$476,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$487,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $476,110 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 916 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Blackhawks45c219,841$99,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,104.129340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Ducks55c91,869$50,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,359.6857453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Ducks54c61,553$33,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,131.5630944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Blackhawks47c38,360$18,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,330.810554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Ducks55c32,711$17,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,990.9556649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Ducks53c30,000$15,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,899.978240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Ducks54c17,133$9,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,284.3841246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Blackhawks52c16,261$8,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,743.7326344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Ducks53c13,029$6,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,96940550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks53c10,953$5,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,804.81,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Ducks55c10,746$5,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,889.6615646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Ducks54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4007850%39 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blackhawks46c9,291$4,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,017.141,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Blackhawks46c8,995$4,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,857.1870547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks53c8,597$4,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,556.541,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Ducks55c5,968$3,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,282.535253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Blackhawks46c5,957$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.523246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5e…7ab3backed Ducks54c4,900$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6461553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Ducks55c4,725$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.753246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb848…6431backed Ducks54c3,825$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68f…f354backed Blackhawks46c3,825$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a01…a42cbacked Blackhawks46c3,560$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.31450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Ducks54c3,500$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae1b…acd1backed Blackhawks46c3,395$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blackhawks47c2,945$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.492,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…42e8backed Ducks54c2,907$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…f4fbbacked Blackhawks46c2,690$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.591181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+51.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Blackhawks63c2,656$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.663964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d73…0a6dbacked Ducks50c2,652$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2e9…31bfbacked Blackhawks50c2,652$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks53c2,536$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.0263249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Blackhawks45c2,531$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.8969550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Ducks55c2,505$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.071952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Ducks54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Blackhawks46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3508746%40 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ducks43c2,203$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.2989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Blackhawks47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6643743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8e…6556backed Blackhawks50c2,007$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfa…60afbacked Blackhawks46c1,817$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9811050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Ducks50c1,778$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdf…bf0abacked Blackhawks46c1,750$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5849…4807backed Ducks54c1,750$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ducks54c1,723$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9262,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Ducks54c1,700$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92535349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b6…58f5backed Blackhawks47c1,700$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d83…302ebacked Ducks55c1,680$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea5…99f9backed Ducks54c1,600$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad42…5841backed Blackhawks46c1,600$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+62%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Ducks54c1,541$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Blackhawks68c1,484$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.858841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Ducks54c1,473$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.487447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Ducks54c1,250$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.9920751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Ducks1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks54c1,018$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.752050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Ducks11c1,008$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8831546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Ducks54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5406648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blackhawks46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a23…4e9fbacked Blackhawks46c950$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5131485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.4wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+82.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdb63…33d8backed Blackhawks46c850$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Blackhawks47c791.99$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.768536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Ducks54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Ducks9c737$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9220137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ducks39c718.02$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.883,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Ducks54c716$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.6415448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Blackhawks47c712.77$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.7731848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Ducks55c660.64$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.356431.3%20 W · 44 L-11.1wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Blackhawks46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1718136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Ducks54c643.48$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.337847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blackhawks46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32468449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Blackhawks46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.488648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks45c534.32$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.881,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Blackhawks46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2704045%18 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Ducks54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0a…e7aabacked Ducks10c470.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.021457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf57…6dffbacked Blackhawks47c452.06$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.595058%29 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Ducks54c451.85$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2442638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Blackhawks46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7822949.3%113 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd054…11aebacked Blackhawks48c416.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Ducks55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22018750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Blackhawks46c399.99$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21621147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b5…cf5fbacked Blackhawks49c397.22$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Blackhawks45c388.95$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9272448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ducks53c378$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.331,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Ducks55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Ducks55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks54c306$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.571,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Ducks55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16514151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Blackhawks45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16575946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd4…f519backed Ducks54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Blackhawks48c282$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.730848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4275…667ebacked Blackhawks46c279.21$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a5…6721backed Ducks55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504459.1%26 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Blackhawks61c265.28$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0612070.8%85 W · 35 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f2d…6ae3backed Ducks19c264.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Blackhawks55c244.09$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.12347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9064…5301backed Ducks55c224.33$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Blackhawks47c220$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.620446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a40…a062backed Blackhawks46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0111…0463backed Blackhawks47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7723140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.