NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9915bea232fa12b20058f9cea1187ea51366352bf833393676cd0db557a58249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78f1…42a4backed Capitals | 78c | 5,103$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Capitals | 51c | 2,348$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.5 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.96 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 1,263$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.07 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc7…d5a8backed Capitals | 50c | 1,138$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…a4c4backed Capitals | 50c | 1,035$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb2…1080backed Capitals | 50c | 827.18$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 54c | 480.67$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.11 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Maple Leafs | 29c | 412.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 374.16$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.27 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 328.44$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 296.35$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.48 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Capitals | 56c | 283.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 278.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 50c | 250.83$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.83 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maple Leafs | 6c | 211.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 54c | 202.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…9fd4backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 183.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Capitals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…1ed4backed Capitals | 55c | 180.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…1e41backed Capitals | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…b2a1backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 106.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 104.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…7f3cbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Capitals | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…e030backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 98.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Capitals | 54c | 94.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…f6a9backed Capitals | 51c | 92.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…2e93backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1094…d30cbacked Capitals | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Capitals | 50c | 88.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 48c | 82.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…80dfbacked Capitals | 50c | 81.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba3…dc56backed Capitals | 49c | 79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Capitals | 72c | 77.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa9…ab0cbacked Capitals | 48c | 76.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 73.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d6…1c32backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 67.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 66.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 66.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…af1dbacked Capitals | 52c | 66.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e6…12fbbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 65.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…fc91backed Capitals | 55c | 63.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…750bbacked Capitals | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…f209backed Capitals | 51c | 62.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…67bebacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 58.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…bf06backed Capitals | 48c | 56.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…5c6dbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 55.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…7bf0backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1000…b1a2backed Capitals | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f63…3b29backed Capitals | 51c | 54.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…0639backed Capitals | 50c | 53.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 52.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…1c84backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 52.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…46e5backed Capitals | 47c | 52.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c3…d16cbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 51.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6221…73e4backed Capitals | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…3adbbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 50.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…c127backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 49.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…f3d9backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 49.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…a372backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 48.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaee…d5a1backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 48.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…9771backed Capitals | 50c | 48.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fe9cbacked Capitals | 48c | 46.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x335a…99a2backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 46.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…1c67backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 46.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c580backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 46.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…6736backed Capitals | 50c | 46.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf589…c8d0backed Capitals | 49c | 46.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf196…00fbbacked Capitals | 50c | 45.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…7948backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 45.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…ba7dbacked Capitals | 48c | 45.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Capitals | 59c | 45.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…d226backed Capitals | 57c | 45.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ca…1511backed Capitals | 49c | 44.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…6573backed Capitals | 41c | 44.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9d…861abacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 44.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f3…0bdfbacked Capitals | 48c | 43.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…3a4fbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 43.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc22…cc5abacked Capitals | 55c | 43.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…2405backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 43.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2afcbacked Capitals | 54c | 43.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…fd11backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 43.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d1…8323backed Capitals | 49c | 43.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…b614backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 43.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f743backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 43.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2b…6887backed Capitals | 53c | 42.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…9617backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 42.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eda…5f9fbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 41.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…74adbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 41.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b972backed Capitals | 72c | 41.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.