TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Guardians vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Guardians, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,489

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers54c4,776$2,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.9663152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Guardians0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers53c3,810$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.281,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Guardians19c2,631$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.81,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Guardians46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1501,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians39c2,470$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.912,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Rangers61c2,366$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.5621747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rangers79c2,256$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.6654345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Guardians46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians44c1,950$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.011,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians45c1,887$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.072,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers54c1,458$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.6873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.961,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42383248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Guardians4c557.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Guardians45c557.1$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.71,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers54c554.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.31,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Guardians46c500.04$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0222142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Guardians44c488.64$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21551347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Guardians45c399.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Guardians46c399.98$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Guardians39c384.34$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.899,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Rangers55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6461346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rangers54c343.28$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3770946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Guardians44c340$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.631347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e2c…ba05backed Guardians47c332.97$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.492360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers55c292.16$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.041,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Rangers55c255$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7534051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Guardians44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8866751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4779…211fbacked Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec14…afbbbacked Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7620…b9eabacked Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd6…966cbacked Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c61…a273backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc94…72debacked Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b8…729cbacked Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c32…3b86backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb290…27c5backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…c850backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0138…cdf1backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28fe…620bbacked Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928353%44 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb523…0d72backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb340…6b02backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef2…220bbacked Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f5…31d4backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc213…f12bbacked Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925250%26 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d18…f551backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x069c…ed7bbacked Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925046%23 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2916…bb5bbacked Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925435.2%19 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfffa…f24dbacked Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a1…99aabacked Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40a0…a1c0backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf50e…b539backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e00…c26cbacked Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925054%27 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7c6…ce67backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab5…dce6backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9459…e52bbacked Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927256.9%41 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8be8…7066backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925050%25 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe91a…5145backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf01…0439backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925050%25 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…5d65backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ce…215fbacked Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a6…050cbacked Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925151%26 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf15e…23e4backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31b1…9335backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca66…c18bbacked Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927853.8%42 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6b…122dbacked Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c6…8325backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…2522backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f3…94d4backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5581…12e8backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925046%23 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90d…0082backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927656.6%43 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6718…41babacked Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x045f…bfe7backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x479b…64e9backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9af2…9d81backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5700…a6babacked Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0c…9e00backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46d8…c629backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad26…e8efbacked Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928149.4%40 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb937…bdbebacked Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f21…7c7fbacked Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927843.6%34 W · 44 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x205b…3f56backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcbbf…4823backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf735…ef34backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1405…5506backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa53b…c3febacked Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6596…632cbacked Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6de9…d1c1backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928053.8%43 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58fd…b647backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925143.1%22 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b1…7b5cbacked Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda00…68b5backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925052%26 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…0a46backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdff2…5f74backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95f…e9f2backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaea…c101backed Rangers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2366…b94bbacked Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eea…3cf2backed Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925052%26 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.