TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$971,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$977,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971,295 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Kings36c453,239$160,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292,249.829340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Golden Knights65c175,000$113,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113,749.995253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Golden Knights65c120,000$78,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,463.555745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Kings35c79,137$27,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,439.1214057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Golden Knights63c75,000$47,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,2504949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Golden Knights64c75,000$48,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,250650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec65…cf87backed Golden Knights65c59,571$38,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,721.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Kings34c56,216$19,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,102.849242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Kings41c44,975$18,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,594.9813655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Kings41c37,187$15,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,849.217448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Golden Knights63c31,535$19,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,871.9316743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Golden Knights65c31,233$20,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,301.6521755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Kings27c31,150$8,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,745.0885464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Golden Knights62c28,193$17,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,535.8326344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Kings64c21,528$13,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,773.1514538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Golden Knights65c18,888$12,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,277.24944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights38c13,259$4,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,985.251,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Golden Knights64c12,000$7,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6805950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Kings58c9,648$5,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,005.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings57c9,193$5,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,987.4282043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Golden Knights66c9,000$5,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,94070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings34c9,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,899.961,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights24c8,201$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.442,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5df…2f2dbacked Golden Knights66c7,591$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Golden Knights64c7,576$4,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,869.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Golden Knights66c6,727$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4402846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2745…17b3backed Kings35c6,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.971662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+50.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Golden Knights65c5,876$3,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.034450%22 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Golden Knights67c5,529$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.1530848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf137…a557backed Golden Knights65c5,321$3,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,458.653237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66c5…85b2backed Kings60c5,043$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Golden Knights64c4,409$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.2237847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Kings42c4,134$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.0858467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Golden Knights40c4,006$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.91741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Golden Knights62c3,867$2,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.071625%4 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Golden Knights65c3,711$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.9731546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…e036backed Golden Knights65c3,500$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Golden Knights13c3,016$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.5729412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Kings75c2,986$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.529545.3%43 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings35c2,757$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.9989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights32c2,716$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.321,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Golden Knights65c2,669$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.8315646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Golden Knights65c2,352$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52912254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5194…cd01backed Golden Knights44c2,265$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Kings38c2,219$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.0620751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dc4…9d6ebacked Kings35c2,100$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3652100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights64c2,003$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2751,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Golden Knights63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Golden Knights63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9914253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Golden Knights65c1,986$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2913053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Kings41c1,919$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.7840550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Kings72c1,918$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.677149.3%35 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings59c1,846$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.889149.5%45 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights65c1,729$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1222,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd58…99bebacked Kings59c1,698$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x352d…ef4bbacked Kings35c1,653$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+83.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f92…35a7backed Golden Knights65c1,650$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec6…47c1backed Kings62c1,619$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.121250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d70…f478backed Golden Knights66c1,515$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick63cpaid-76.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Golden Knights64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9933652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Kings35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.575054%27 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Kings35c1,419$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.695648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Golden Knights63c1,365$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.581369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Golden Knights65c1,306$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.957453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba02…e42bbacked Kings35c1,300$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+57.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc98d…05d3backed Golden Knights38c1,224$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf341…d026backed Golden Knights66c1,212$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+83.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings34c1,121$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.9551044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Kings72c1,106$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.5636948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Kings35c1,088$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.5289249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Kings56c1,040$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.7920137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings35c999.99$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.3354349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Kings8c968$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.5618237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Golden Knights64c889$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.9615448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Kings35c857.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.144450%22 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Golden Knights64c849.99$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.996648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9342…6e58backed Kings71c845.42$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Golden Knights65c830.77$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54031753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Golden Knights25c800$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19821620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Kings7c754.32$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.232114.3%3 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Kings37c746.25$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.511127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Kings43c679.91$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.916046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Golden Knights55c646$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.7842144.4%187 W · 234 L-28.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Golden Knights65c631.84$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.0319851.5%102 W · 96 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Golden Knights65c568.33$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.3663249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings67c514.69$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32538046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Kings35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32535349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed0…b051backed Golden Knights34c480$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.554443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0099…b070backed Golden Knights62c460.6$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Kings50c415$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.615560%93 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Kings34c399.91$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9418750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…5862backed Kings4c375$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+733.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0057…0932backed Kings61c372.69$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Kings34c370.15$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.32653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights42c346.39$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.651,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Kings35c342.86$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.862864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Kings36c333.33$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3329319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.