MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f21becf5d875cba557bfa6acb3347c30ceba791fcdcd0bb81da4b2f24d07696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Rangers, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers | 52c | 24,773$12,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,881.96 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…1165backed Rangers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Rangers | 52c | 5,380$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.6 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Astros | 48c | 5,102$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.15 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 52c | 3,379$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.3 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers | 51c | 3,023$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.63 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rangers | 52c | 1,917$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.1 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 47c | 1,266$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.51 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 48c | 1,000$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.35 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 48c | 999.88$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.96 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rangers | 3c | 890$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 47c | 847$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.04 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Astros | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rangers | 10c | 794.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers | 51c | 766.39$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.86 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rangers | 4c | 727.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 46c | 700.02$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.4 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 79c | 675.4$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Rangers | 51c | 563.97$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Rangers | 37c | 538.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Rangers | 5c | 536.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rangers | 7c | 515$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers | 51c | 471.12$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.27 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rangers | 35c | 458$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 46c | 455.92$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.2 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Rangers | 10c | 411.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Astros | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Rangers | 13c | 385.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Rangers | 54c | 369.28$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.41 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rangers | 51c | 362.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.12 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rangers | 5c | 354$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…23ddbacked Astros | 49c | 328.57$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rangers | 52c | 311.1$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.77 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…d3fdbacked Rangers | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…2576backed Rangers | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Astros | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Rangers | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Rangers | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Astros | 48c | 268.37$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rangers | 37c | 213.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Astros | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Astros | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…54bbbacked Rangers | 58c | 197.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rangers | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Rangers | 14c | 188.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Rangers | 53c | 160.53$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Astros | 49c | 154.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Astros | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Rangers | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…035ebacked Rangers | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers | 52c | 115$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…8cfbbacked Rangers | 53c | 110.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Rangers | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers | 18c | 93.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Rangers | 51c | 83.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…a1c6backed Rangers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Rangers | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133e…592cbacked Rangers | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Astros | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Astros | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…9fffbacked Rangers | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82f0…b2bebacked Rangers | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…b04dbacked Rangers | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 49c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Astros | 48c | 62.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4dd3backed Rangers | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Astros | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Astros | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Astros | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Astros | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Astros | 43c | 46.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Astros | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Astros | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…bb8dbacked Astros | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…466dbacked Astros | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Astros | 80c | 40.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Astros | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Astros | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Astros | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…4d4bbacked Astros | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Astros | 79c | 37.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x774e…4665backed Rangers | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Astros | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…c6b6backed Astros | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…b902backed Astros | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Astros | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79bb…8fc6backed Rangers | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f4…0eb4backed Rangers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…e535backed Rangers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Rangers | 55c | 27.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Astros | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…26ebbacked Rangers | 52c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Astros | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 80 | 73.8%59 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Rangers | 51c | 23.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Astrosthis page
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.