TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Senators, Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c4…7385backed Senators38c6,578$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,108.3223642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Devils62c2,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.9931849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Senators39c1,924$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.684146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Devils64c1,736$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.6185148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Devils63c1,633$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.9720147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Devils1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Devils62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Devils64c824.34$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.79861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators52c772.2$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.243,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Devils65c653$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.851,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Senators35c609.31$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.051,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Devils65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.541,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Senators40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Devils64c468.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.955648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Devils64c403.86$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0920345.3%92 W · 111 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Devils62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2483650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Devils29c378.87$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0531334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Devils55c325.13$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1789553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Senators36c308.33$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.338932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf32b…1e55backed Senators42c256.62$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.721258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Devils63c251.41$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.392619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-47.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Devils41c222.02$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6891334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Devils62c213.6$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.43922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-60.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Senators37c208.47$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6238040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Senators59c205.09$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9114949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e30…4441backed Devils65c202.16$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Devils30c197.69$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.315322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Senators36c188.27$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4913754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcc7…79b1backed Senators75c185.53$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.53560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Senators38c178.08$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4119438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Devils62c166.48$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2248654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Senators37c150$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Devils63c148.41$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.52657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Senators36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.894647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Senators38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.588863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Devils56c131.17$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.817054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Senators36c119.76$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Devils61c107.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7929847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Senators37c99.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Devils59c99.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9972448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Senators33c99.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Devils64c93.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb0…8973backed Senators36c86.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6218…36e8backed Devils64c83.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.142751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Senators42c81.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1385464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Senators36c80$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.219150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a0e…c4f7backed Devils63c79.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Devils64c78.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Devils62c77.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0341851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Senators53c74.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.815145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59e7…a1a9backed Senators38c72.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Devils62c72.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c54…c33ebacked Devils63c70.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x547d…c6e8backed Senators43c69.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b5…13cdbacked Senators38c64.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+55.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Devils64c62.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401540%6 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Devils47c62.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.27317.8%13 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9727…fe56backed Senators45c58.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742c…21aabacked Senators37c55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.65785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick41cpaid+121%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf734…c613backed Senators39c54.72$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.423729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccc9…7a15backed Senators73c54.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.62360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Senators38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.632250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3947…b31ebacked Senators39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf19…976bbacked Devils65c50.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d1…52c5backed Devils65c49.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.01944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Senators37c48.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.631,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5181…d7eebacked Devils63c47.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x987d…7afdbacked Devils65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick67cpaid-47.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Senators38c44.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7410659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Devils63c44.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.174852.1%25 W · 23 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x180e…568ebacked Devils62c41.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82a4…9988backed Senators37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ded…00c8backed Senators36c39.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb9…6290backed Senators36c38.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.891250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29fa…d056backed Senators37c38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd23c…6fb6backed Senators37c37.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a1…3726backed Devils67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252642.3%11 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Devils62c37.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0713756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c9…99d0backed Senators36c37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+53.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb9…044abacked Devils65c36.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…192cbacked Senators37c36.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…0cf4backed Senators38c35.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc5…a359backed Senators37c35.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa548…1b39backed Senators36c35.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+75.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1281…e2b6backed Senators36c35.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.543100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd17…a157backed Senators75c34.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d76…0761backed Devils63c32.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65c7…51d4backed Devils64c32.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d3e…2b31backed Senators39c32.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…f3c5backed Devils64c31.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266e…c531backed Devils64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4760…5984backed Senators36c31.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa58…5a8bbacked Senators37c30.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa23a…decabacked Devils63c30.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8575…f0c1backed Devils63c30.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c81…63c0backed Devils63c30.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ed…90b7backed Devils63c30.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd159…eb28backed Devils63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x399f…74d3backed Senators38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Senators38c29.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4410267.6%69 W · 33 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.