F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34946b42b4e457d1f09baee425bff29af16a68eec221c48a78d416e60fcd0f1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 5c | 32,122$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.9 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…0426backed Yes | 0c | 15,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 3c | 5,848$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 4c | 3,360$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…db4abacked Yes | 4c | 1,550$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5d…ff7ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,539$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 3c | 1,475$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 4c | 1,375$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 6c | 1,140$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6075…23edbacked Yes | 16c | 911.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 7c | 869.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…3102backed Yes | 4c | 866.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 6c | 763.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 5c | 757.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed Yes | 5c | 646.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 4c | 621.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 15c | 608.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 9c | 565$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3376backed Yes | 8c | 550$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 2c | 545$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa961…7628backed Yes | 9c | 522.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 4c | 443.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 3c | 425$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…ce51backed Yes | 7c | 328.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…1567backed Yes | 6c | 312.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e2…bb8dbacked Yes | 8c | 287.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4661…24d1backed Yes | 7c | 287.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36e…1524backed Yes | 7c | 285$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 4c | 284.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…2216backed Yes | 4c | 280$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b70…788bbacked Yes | 8c | 262.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4370…10a9backed Yes | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…70ddbacked Yes | 7c | 228.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…e535backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…c2bfbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…c13dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…b5e7backed Yes | 11c | 188.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 10c | 188$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0958…78fdbacked Yes | 7c | 185.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683d…ed3fbacked Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ef…b238backed Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229f…3b70backed Yes | 7c | 164.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…6c6ebacked Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…3245backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…5039backed Yes | 8c | 125.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bac…5d2bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Franco Colapinto win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.