TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,699 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2707…0afabacked Yes32c16,400$5,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,164.5312523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Yes12c10,151$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,937.791250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No65c6,430$4,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,177.8221337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No8c6,308$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.113348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No30c5,673$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.3412246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No77c5,605$4,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,315.8612353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No63c3,251$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.427433.8%25 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes38c3,187$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.018939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b20…75d3backed Yes29c2,771$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.241338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes27c2,711$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.725137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No68c2,680$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.016866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed No45c2,324$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.714134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes23c2,091$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.951921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes34c1,888$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.421625%4 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No33c1,837$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.921315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-72.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes11c1,685$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.5912646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No80c1,504$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.25759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9756835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Yes61c1,487$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.341323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes65c1,466$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.049219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yes34c1,457$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.891580%12 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes45c1,341$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.623619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc771…3a9abacked Yes38c1,313$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a45…cf97backed Yes55c1,311$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.915420.4%11 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No67c1,299$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.5714356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed No32c1,074$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.471428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-56.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5702378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa842…08e5backed Yes20c999.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Yes21c899.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.99742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes35c838.48$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.937733.8%26 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes77c790.39$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.191154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes38c775$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.658027.5%22 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes8c750$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.51010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Yes51c722.16$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.587715.6%12 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No36c672.47$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.772240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf909…2b17backed Yes23c649.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…5039backed Yes34c639.68$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.191040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes35c635$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.641926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c7…2216backed Yes37c631.51$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.511020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No29c615$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No24c557.86$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.776633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ec…b5fcbacked No69c526.94$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.531560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes19c521.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.34040%16 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Yes37c520$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.66246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Yes19c520$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+123%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf27c…b5d8backed No36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18070%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes22c500$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.511844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Yes10c500$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503420.6%7 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes33c497.29$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes34c482.14$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.215149%25 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc2…0933backed Yes61c436.36$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.131457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x612f…aa53backed Yes32c418.96$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.274047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65f3…e4c6backed No11c413.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2881827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No48c371.01$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.383339.4%13 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65f…a749backed Yes24c352.96$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.962924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2f9…eb40backed No80c352.43$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid0%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked No7c350.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.02570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes30c349.98$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.493713.5%5 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cb1…8bfbbacked Yes66c348.48$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1e5…a32fbacked Yes47c345.55$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.82520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cad…9372backed No48c343.37$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…0b0cbacked Yes39c337.73$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes24c319.24$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.1111250%56 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1afb…e524backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.03837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2043633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6af…e12fbacked No29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874134.1%14 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Yes37c297$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.31758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x138f…ccb0backed Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf626…8a12backed Yes69c289.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.91520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed No64c278.13$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0be0…cc11backed No11c269.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.63425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes23c260.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.871118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes35c254$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5412325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x141e…8c87backed Yes37c253.5$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked No65c249.97$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.982445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1038…3a87backed Yes21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab3e…6939backed Yes9c236.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.151216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Yes16c235.84$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.641533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97be…416dbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…da90backed Yes75c220$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.31855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9238…ac3ebacked No80c220$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Yes33c205.33$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.571752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3147…7667backed Yes34c203.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.895418.5%10 W · 44 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbad2…994dbacked Yes80c200.83$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.171225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603321.2%7 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Yes10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+158.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yes37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2ee…c6f0backed Yes20c196.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.421136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa038…cda9backed Yes21c190.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.481533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71d8…41a9backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes11c180$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.212419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a85…e856backed Yes20c174.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+117.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes23c173.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.913534.3%12 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e9…3b95backed Yes38c172.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.142725.9%7 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e6…29c7backed Yes12c171.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.171811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b8b…8663backed Yes37c167.7$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d1…499ebacked Yes23c165.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.22812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.