MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0a160802585360478eecd2db99a7484927ff0872b8a94376bc3d66ce7c44cb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $615,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $709,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 555 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Rangers | 47c | 258,418$121,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,195.88 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Phillies | 56c | 86,880$48,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,227.19 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 53c | 75,985$40,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,633.02 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 53c | 75,200$39,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,344 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Phillies | 53c | 47,351$25,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,084.28 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rangers | 46c | 35,555$16,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,355.3 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers | 44c | 35,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,400 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 53c | 28,793$15,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,400.29 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 53c | 21,206$11,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,966.65 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 54c | 10,983$5,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,052.18 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 53c | 8,440$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.8 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 54c | 4,846$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.38 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Rangers | 44c | 4,773$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.04 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Phillies | 56c | 4,123$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.12 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers | 13c | 3,851$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 38c | 3,809$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.03 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Phillies | 64c | 3,756$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.72 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rangers | 44c | 3,333$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.35 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Phillies | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Rangers | 46c | 2,831$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Rangers | 34c | 2,469$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.59 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 54c | 2,302$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Phillies | 54c | 2,258$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.95 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rangers | 46c | 2,190$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.05 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Phillies | 57c | 2,026$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.49 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Rangers | 10c | 1,935$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Rangers | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Phillies | 54c | 1,577$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.53 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Rangers | 45c | 1,444$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers | 45c | 1,362$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.9 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 55c | 1,221$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.53 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 73c | 1,000$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.24 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rangers | 44c | 999.94$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Rangers | 44c | 961$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.84 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 54c | 960.64$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.89 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rangers | 44c | 950.94$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.41 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Phillies | 55c | 833.3$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.98 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rangers | 45c | 661.24$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.56 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Phillies | 64c | 659.09$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.09 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rangers | 44c | 632$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.08 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Rangers | 45c | 611.71$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.27 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Phillies | 54c | 558.03$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.69 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rangers | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 53c | 525$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.75 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Rangers | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Phillies | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 44c | 499.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d40backed Phillies | 56c | 490.61$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Phillies | 55c | 402.13$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rangers | 49c | 389.8$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers | 45c | 333$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rangers | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Rangers | 19c | 278.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Phillies | 61c | 270.88$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.18 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Rangers | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 54c | 230$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Phillies | 51c | 223$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Phillies | 55c | 222.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Rangers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Rangers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Rangers | 45c | 220.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers | 45c | 218$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rangers | 14c | 206.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Rangers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a5…6751backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…8ee3backed Rangers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Rangers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…9969backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Rangers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Rangers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…cc30backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2d21backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -11.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…af2cbacked Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…670dbacked Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…a553backed Rangers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…0838backed Rangers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…18d9backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c54abacked Rangers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…8197backed Rangers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf3…b281backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…1e7abacked Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…a478backed Rangers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…ced0backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…a93dbacked Rangers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…3adfbacked Rangers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…35d3backed Rangers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…3394backed Rangers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x144b…199ebacked Rangers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…0883backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.