MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b96885e195202c0eb56e9148c3f116b0c2e63ea3fafb06a29c01316e35d3117
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Guardians, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $403,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Guardians | 50c | 209,140$103,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,532.5 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 141,768$72,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,387.01 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Guardians | 48c | 97,751$46,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,920.31 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 41,000$20,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,500 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 26,500$13,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,985 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 24,190$12,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,852.86 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 22,580$12,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,021.7 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 16,511$8,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,003.83 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Diamondbacks | 28c | 15,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 14,420$7,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,065.8 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 8,200$4,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Guardians | 50c | 8,065$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 6,156$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.85 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 5,904$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 5,523$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.97 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 4,748$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.67 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 4,254$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.92 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,274$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.78 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 3,040$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,644$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.77 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,134$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.13 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guardians | 55c | 1,970$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 1,502$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.83 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,342$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.21 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 46c | 1,320$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.11 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,176$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.7 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 11c | 1,100$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Guardians | 43c | 1,081$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Guardians | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 985.33$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.38 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Guardians | 41c | 977$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.57 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 900$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.39 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Guardians | 40c | 898$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.29 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Guardians | 46c | 749.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Guardians | 59c | 622.08$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.18 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Guardians | 42c | 595.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 588.35$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.66 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 570$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.41 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 565.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.27 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Guardians | 36c | 562.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 530.59$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.19 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 517$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Guardians | 48c | 505.96$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 499.46$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.74 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Guardians | 47c | 469.44$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.64 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 395.05$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…cc9abacked Guardians | 9c | 376.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 44c | 367.25$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Guardians | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Guardians | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 47c | 292.11$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.29 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 288.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Guardians | 5c | 286.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 283.78$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.05 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 280.8$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.63 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 43c | 265$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Guardians | 20c | 244.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Guardians | 46c | 230.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 225.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Guardians | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Guardians | 47c | 211.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 208.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Guardians | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 206.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Guardians | 48c | 167.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 166.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 156$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…bca0backed Guardians | 51c | 153$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8822…73e9backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 153$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…b24cbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 152$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…03ffbacked Guardians | 48c | 152$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Guardians | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 137.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 131.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 131.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Guardians | 15c | 129.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 110.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 107.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Guardians | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Guardians | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Guardians | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Guardians | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Guardians | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Guardians | 37c | 93.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.