NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50e212cc36ebe2be4c72acb65d8bdf2a6ad7c89e445c2702273485d1671cd274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Ducks, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ducks | 0c | 7,168$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Ducks | 1c | 2,919$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 30c | 1,243$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Ducks | 32c | 1,114$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.58 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Ducks | 31c | 1,014$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.86 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Senators | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Ducks | 31c | 999.96$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked Senators | 71c | 812.7$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…414fbacked Ducks | 31c | 689.98$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf6…6476backed Senators | 68c | 689.3$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Senators | 69c | 607.85$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.85 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Senators | 69c | 596.78$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.53 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Ducks | 32c | 450.25$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Senators | 68c | 444.98$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.39 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Ducks | 31c | 431.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Senators | 67c | 415.91$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…6f7ebacked Ducks | 32c | 360$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Ducks | 30c | 332.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7958…eeffbacked Senators | 69c | 320$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 6c | 308.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Ducks | 33c | 307.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2d…d44dbacked Ducks | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Ducks | 30c | 255.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 31c | 255$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Ducks | 31c | 250$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Ducks | 24c | 246.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…0e1fbacked Ducks | 14c | 222.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Senators | 64c | 209.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Senators | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…cdbdbacked Senators | 9c | 182.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…b908backed Ducks | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…6964backed Ducks | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…4ce9backed Senators | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Senators | 69c | 158.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c1…a798backed Ducks | 42c | 149.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Senators | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Senators | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Senators | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Senators | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Ducks | 30c | 142.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…6715backed Ducks | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Ducks | 31c | 137.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Ducks | 30c | 133$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Ducks | 19c | 132.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…8215backed Senators | 18c | 128.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…d737backed Senators | 69c | 126.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Senators | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Senators | 69c | 107.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Senators | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…3051backed Senators | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Senators | 70c | 100.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Senators | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Senators | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Senators | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Senators | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Senators | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Ducks | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Senators | 67c | 99.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Ducks | 31c | 98.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…cd6bbacked Senators | 68c | 98.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…5ba5backed Senators | 69c | 96.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…2f53backed Senators | 70c | 92.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…5093backed Ducks | 32c | 92.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e6…e206backed Senators | 69c | 92.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…157dbacked Ducks | 32c | 90.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…6ef3backed Ducks | 21c | 89.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6144…2fffbacked Senators | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…aa64backed Ducks | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Ducks | 30c | 78.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Senators | 69c | 74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…00e4backed Senators | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0a…3e6abacked Senators | 79c | 67.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +179.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Ducks | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8291…8d20backed Ducks | 33c | 64.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…ce35backed Senators | 77c | 63.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…62f6backed Ducks | 26c | 61.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Ducks | 33c | 60.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Ducks | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc65e…33c9backed Ducks | 31c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…097dbacked Ducks | 31c | 51.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Senators | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…750bbacked Senators | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Ducks | 31c | 50.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Senators | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…23a0backed Ducks | 33c | 48.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Ducks | 22c | 48.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Ducks | 23c | 45.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…c816backed Ducks | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89e8…332cbacked Senators | 25c | 45.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86b…da86backed Ducks | 32c | 43.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…c2ffbacked Senators | 67c | 38.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…e900backed Senators | 69c | 37.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…9db5backed Senators | 30c | 37.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…ddf7backed Ducks | 70c | 37.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…751dbacked Ducks | 33c | 37.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7568…ae60backed Ducks | 32c | 36.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Senators | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…82b5backed Senators | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.