NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26b2b0a135bd8ccb65b08c993a6183b7589f26483ef86bc8333d664d27b76d37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd92e…763dbacked Panthers | 58c | 10,015$5,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,808.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…20f3backed Lightning | 42c | 10,014$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,808.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Lightning | 76c | 5,194$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.65 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Panthers | 28c | 2,252$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.07 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Panthers | 1c | 2,150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 18c | 1,372$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.85 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 21c | 1,111$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.31 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Panthers | 61c | 999.53$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.76 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Panthers | 50c | 799.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lightning | 41c | 597.26$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Panthers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…618fbacked Lightning | 42c | 495.55$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…0917backed Panthers | 58c | 495.55$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Panthers | 5c | 475.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Lightning | 40c | 454.83$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.9 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Lightning | 41c | 440.03$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.84 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Panthers | 57c | 345.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 38c | 271.91$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.58 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lightning | 39c | 249.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Lightning | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8a…3840backed Lightning | 43c | 232.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Panthers | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Panthers | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Panthers | 58c | 189.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked Lightning | 41c | 159.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Panthers | 58c | 156.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Panthers | 58c | 156.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Panthers | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Lightning | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Panthers | 8c | 137.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Lightning | 42c | 135.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…1e56backed Lightning | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…fe13backed Lightning | 43c | 115.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Lightning | 54c | 104$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Lightning | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Panthers | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lightning | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lightning | 41c | 98.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fa…23f4backed Panthers | 60c | 88.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Lightning | 39c | 87.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Panthers | 60c | 83.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfd…9eb7backed Panthers | 56c | 83.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…087cbacked Lightning | 42c | 76.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Lightning | 42c | 72.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42fe…42f2backed Lightning | 43c | 70.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…9367backed Panthers | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…31cdbacked Panthers | 57c | 64.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 41c | 60.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00a…bab7backed Lightning | 43c | 57.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…8b1abacked Panthers | 57c | 56.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e6…12fbbacked Panthers | 57c | 56.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…c4d5backed Lightning | 42c | 56.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd0…bd03backed Lightning | 42c | 53.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…b836backed Lightning | 43c | 51.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…5db9backed Panthers | 57c | 49.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Lightning | 43c | 46.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…fda2backed Panthers | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…adfdbacked Panthers | 56c | 42.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…ece2backed Lightning | 42c | 41.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f1…632bbacked Panthers | 58c | 41.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…94efbacked Lightning | 42c | 41.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…f03cbacked Panthers | 58c | 40.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f1…f07cbacked Lightning | 44c | 39.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Lightning | 40c | 39.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b972backed Lightning | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f6…7f50backed Lightning | 42c | 39.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…4d7dbacked Panthers | 58c | 38.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…e4a0backed Lightning | 43c | 38.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa610…7467backed Panthers | 58c | 37.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514c…3ec9backed Lightning | 41c | 37.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…45a3backed Panthers | 58c | 35.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…9fccbacked Lightning | 43c | 35.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…aabbbacked Lightning | 42c | 35.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…4792backed Panthers | 58c | 35.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af0…2a46backed Panthers | 58c | 35.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…fb4dbacked Lightning | 42c | 35.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…28d4backed Lightning | 42c | 35.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…40f5backed Panthers | 59c | 35.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…d5a8backed Lightning | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…4d31backed Panthers | 56c | 35.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…a03dbacked Panthers | 58c | 35.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…2693backed Panthers | 56c | 35.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…0e51backed Lightning | 45c | 34.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c2…2f05backed Panthers | 55c | 34.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28c…c43cbacked Panthers | 57c | 34.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f54…04d4backed Panthers | 57c | 34.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…96edbacked Lightning | 43c | 34.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…442dbacked Panthers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…798bbacked Panthers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b8…3790backed Panthers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Panthers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Panthers | 59c | 33.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…24f6backed Lightning | 42c | 33.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…e3e8backed Lightning | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…9e90backed Panthers | 59c | 33.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…d4cfbacked Lightning | 42c | 32.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b2…fafabacked Lightning | 42c | 32.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…28d7backed Lightning | 41c | 31.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Lightning | 57c | 31.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.