NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0de4099df47b413acbf399ef8ff58d9cb1cc6420c9f4314f2494b6103c02dfda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Penguins, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Penguins | 41c | 6,789$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.49 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Islanders | 59c | 5,735$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.53 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Islanders | 59c | 1,599$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.96 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Islanders | 58c | 1,113$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.41 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Penguins | 45c | 1,101$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Penguins | 41c | 1,000$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.6 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Islanders | 54c | 857.37$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.39 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Islanders | 56c | 679.29$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.89 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Penguins | 10c | 517.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders | 57c | 502.74$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.07 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Penguins | 41c | 412.74$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Penguins | 37c | 408.9$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.96 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Penguins | 37c | 398$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Penguins | 37c | 398$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Penguins | 37c | 398$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.59 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Islanders | 66c | 304.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.12 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Islanders | 60c | 216.71$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Penguins | 42c | 169.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Penguins | 33c | 160.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0f…6dfebacked Penguins | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…5770backed Islanders | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Penguins | 42c | 129$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 67c | 123.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders | 72c | 121.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Penguins | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Penguins | 13c | 113.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Penguins | 42c | 111.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penguins | 13c | 111$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Penguins | 42c | 110.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Islanders | 53c | 102.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Penguins | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…21aabacked Penguins | 44c | 95.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…0a71backed Penguins | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Penguins | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c0…05b5backed Penguins | 17c | 94.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Islanders | 74c | 84.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…c0abbacked Penguins | 44c | 80.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…5916backed Penguins | 43c | 78.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…36ddbacked Penguins | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…aebebacked Islanders | 54c | 70.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Penguins | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…554cbacked Penguins | 43c | 62.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7d…0bbcbacked Islanders | 55c | 60.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders | 58c | 60.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…92f4backed Penguins | 44c | 58.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd1…eb73backed Penguins | 40c | 54.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…5618backed Islanders | 56c | 52.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a24…ef52backed Penguins | 45c | 50.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…1a23backed Penguins | 45c | 49.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…d9e5backed Penguins | 44c | 47.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…f22abacked Penguins | 44c | 46.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…d3e7backed Penguins | 45c | 46.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…a7c7backed Islanders | 56c | 44.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25e…bdddbacked Islanders | 54c | 42.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…2d18backed Islanders | 58c | 42.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…9cb9backed Islanders | 52c | 41.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…de42backed Penguins | 48c | 41.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…340bbacked Penguins | 41c | 41.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…2f7ebacked Islanders | 55c | 41.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…2a46backed Penguins | 46c | 40.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5740…c8f2backed Islanders | 54c | 40.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…f778backed Penguins | 46c | 40.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f74…4caabacked Islanders | 57c | 40.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2e…9465backed Islanders | 57c | 40.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Penguins | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…d04dbacked Islanders | 57c | 39.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cf…905fbacked Penguins | 41c | 39.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…8a30backed Islanders | 59c | 39.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…9be6backed Penguins | 41c | 39.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…eb89backed Islanders | 59c | 39.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…f598backed Penguins | 48c | 39.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…3fe7backed Penguins | 41c | 38.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c11…be9fbacked Islanders | 60c | 38.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913e…1c9cbacked Islanders | 56c | 38.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…f9ccbacked Penguins | 44c | 38.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…4346backed Penguins | 43c | 38.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc74…274dbacked Penguins | 43c | 38.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…68cfbacked Islanders | 55c | 38.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…a9babacked Islanders | 60c | 38.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…680abacked Penguins | 43c | 38.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…77f5backed Islanders | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab58…f55fbacked Penguins | 40c | 38.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2f…ea77backed Islanders | 54c | 38.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…b476backed Penguins | 46c | 38.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf89a…9496backed Penguins | 45c | 38.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f0…1f41backed Islanders | 55c | 38.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb14…a4f5backed Islanders | 59c | 37.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…fd2dbacked Islanders | 57c | 37.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e76…3f8abacked Islanders | 60c | 37.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…d531backed Islanders | 60c | 36.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…24f6backed Penguins | 43c | 36.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…08c4backed Penguins | 43c | 36.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc6…e808backed Penguins | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…89ecbacked Penguins | 46c | 36.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.