TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,997 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens34c3,913$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.5586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Stars66c3,200$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.9731849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Stars68c3,086$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.261266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Canadiens32c2,952$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.6420147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a5d…f50cbacked Stars67c1,965$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens31c1,542$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.241,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars70c1,500$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.351,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecf…37e5backed Stars67c1,334$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e9…7794backed Canadiens33c1,334$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars69c1,293$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.761,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226e…953abacked Canadiens33c1,285$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Canadiens36c1,042$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.5131334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Canadiens1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars69c1,000$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.785148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe528…1511backed Stars63c798.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…3b85backed Stars76c771.66$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.861275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Canadiens31c701.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6229847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95cd…216cbacked Canadiens33c686.84$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens37c634.17$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Canadiens25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Canadiens31c536.04$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6135545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Canadiens42c499.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.998744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Stars67c499.92$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9754349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Canadiens33c441.71$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdc…6f0abacked Stars65c425.19$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c7…2954backed Canadiens35c425$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Canadiens32c342$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1347249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Stars57c339$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.23754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Stars68c272.15$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.618863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Stars65c235.88$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3648654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Canadiens45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Canadiens33c204.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Stars66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars65c195.45$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4175155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Stars66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.529547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Canadiens46c150.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.864839.6%19 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens29c150.58$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8612…84e3backed Stars70c142.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Canadiens33c139.41$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7841851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens34c134.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.521,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2331…408cbacked Canadiens25c128.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ec…db90backed Stars69c121.8$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd67a…eb69backed Canadiens33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x956b…4065backed Canadiens33c118.88$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.23425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4070249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Canadiens44c112.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Stars42c111.19$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4913655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens35c104.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.331,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x664d…aa7dbacked Canadiens28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Stars67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Stars58c98.28$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.284663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Stars66c91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9479251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Canadiens33c90.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9558346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Stars67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.632860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed6b…15bcbacked Canadiens33c72.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed Stars70c72.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.754266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaef9…0b2bbacked Stars67c70.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.632045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Stars67c69.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8973157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba40…b7b7backed Canadiens33c69.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7622…f505backed Stars69c67.71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Stars65c61.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.536953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c47…cebdbacked Canadiens34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Canadiens34c57.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4681846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…b78abacked Canadiens36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5225…5732backed Canadiens36c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.93256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52c7…b836backed Stars58c51.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.912268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c5…e14bbacked Canadiens33c46.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.312744.9%57 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…21edbacked Canadiens33c45.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.18616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Stars61c45.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.762944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7297…008dbacked Canadiens45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Stars68c44.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.417659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3278…f9afbacked Canadiens36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9023…54bbbacked Stars68c39.67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc13e…2f48backed Stars67c35.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a70…baa3backed Canadiens33c35.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeac…2fccbacked Canadiens35c35.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cd6…5a68backed Canadiens33c34.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x103e…ad6fbacked Stars67c34.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1af3…44b0backed Stars67c34.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfbd…f747backed Stars68c33.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x254b…4956backed Canadiens34c33.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.26785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+42%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7774…0191backed Stars66c33.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d76…0761backed Canadiens33c32.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f2…a1ecbacked Canadiens32c32.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe742…36d2backed Canadiens34c31.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9d…ddd8backed Stars66c31.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ceb…09fdbacked Stars67c31.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.49683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+69.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc0b…33a7backed Stars66c31.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0653…3358backed Canadiens33c31.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba3a…cb1abacked Stars67c31.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabfc…0643backed Canadiens34c30.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.521060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51bc…e9edbacked Canadiens35c30.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8581…d1c2backed Canadiens34c30.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.471225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38cd…6783backed Stars68c30.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.841172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1583…9a00backed Canadiens34c30.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc6…537dbacked Stars66c30.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d6e…e05fbacked Stars67c30.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf934…9f73backed Stars61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75046%23 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2474…4957backed Stars69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.36168.9%42 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.