NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcee2c58938f28cbf3890dab0c398cae5a1ded197d22db7e6f4a932e93ebaf0d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Flyers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Flyers | 33c | 1,464$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.57 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 40c | 1,016$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.19 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings | 63c | 999.33$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.74 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…c2b6backed Flyers | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Kings | 58c | 799.96$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Kings | 61c | 750$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flyers | 39c | 584.2$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.84 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Flyers | 74c | 406.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 4c | 345$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Flyers | 36c | 332.7$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Kings | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Kings | 38c | 274.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Flyers | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Kings | 60c | 221.67$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 40c | 219.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Kings | 60c | 209.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Flyers | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Kings | 59c | 181.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Kings | 79c | 159.37$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers | 24c | 155.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Flyers | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings | 58c | 140.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Flyers | 36c | 128$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers | 39c | 122.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Flyers | 61c | 108.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Kings | 31c | 107.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kings | 33c | 102.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flyers | 76c | 102.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Kings | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2041…977fbacked Flyers | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Flyers | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Kings | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Kings | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…54d7backed Kings | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Kings | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Flyers | 41c | 97.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Kings | 62c | 75.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…bcaebacked Kings | 62c | 69.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…d3eabacked Kings | 31c | 62.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…8234backed Flyers | 41c | 60.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb536…3121backed Kings | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…36ddbacked Flyers | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b6b3backed Kings | 58c | 56.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…df0bbacked Flyers | 41c | 53.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5655…735ebacked Flyers | 41c | 51.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cb…8c8fbacked Kings | 59c | 50.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Kings | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Kings | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…2f37backed Flyers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534f…8b8abacked Flyers | 33c | 42.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b972backed Flyers | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…ccb6backed Flyers | 41c | 40.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa37…7b6abacked Flyers | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489f…de62backed Flyers | 42c | 38.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…c975backed Kings | 58c | 38.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…6f1bbacked Kings | 59c | 37.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…5a22backed Flyers | 41c | 37.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…dfe8backed Flyers | 37c | 37.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…0d60backed Flyers | 41c | 37.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…26b0backed Flyers | 41c | 36.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…45d6backed Flyers | 40c | 36.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…9ac9backed Flyers | 41c | 35.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Kings | 59c | 34.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf13…9463backed Kings | 59c | 34.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…75f3backed Flyers | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…60aebacked Flyers | 41c | 34.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…6e3fbacked Kings | 62c | 34.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9434…abedbacked Flyers | 38c | 34.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…c773backed Flyers | 33c | 33.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…26d4backed Kings | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…6309backed Kings | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…ae6bbacked Kings | 56c | 33.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…8cd6backed Flyers | 43c | 33.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Kings | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Kings | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8515…1b83backed Flyers | 34c | 32.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…42d6backed Kings | 66c | 32.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…3d67backed Kings | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…9846backed Flyers | 34c | 31.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…7bb7backed Kings | 66c | 31.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Kings | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b31…8384backed Kings | 59c | 31.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Kings | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…e91ebacked Flyers | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…4797backed Kings | 66c | 30.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…547fbacked Flyers | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Flyers | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fe…e250backed Flyers | 42c | 29.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…1f18backed Kings | 58c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…7ca9backed Flyers | 38c | 29.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…d69dbacked Kings | 62c | 29.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Flyers | 36c | 29.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…0766backed Flyers | 41c | 28.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…ca13backed Flyers | 41c | 28.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…3fafbacked Flyers | 42c | 28.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…0ce1backed Kings | 59c | 28.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.