NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2023a25321675b505e0ced19db9bc616573f7ecec1c8ae92111d6c33493ef2a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Lakers, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $374,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $401,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Lakers | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,749.99 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Rockets | 61c | 23,647$14,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,235.57 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Lakers | 21c | 21,477$4,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.72 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…045fbacked Lakers | 24c | 16,619$3,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Lakers | 10c | 10,014$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.87 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Lakers | 36c | 9,530$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.32 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 24c | 6,000$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.53 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Rockets | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Rockets | 71c | 5,960$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.59 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Lakers | 29c | 5,387$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.17 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Lakers | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Lakers | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 64c | 4,745$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.29 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lakers | 24c | 4,528$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.93 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockets | 64c | 4,315$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.97 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Lakers | 8c | 4,170$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.69 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…502dbacked Lakers | 23c | 4,044$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.98 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Lakers | 40c | 3,493$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Rockets | 64c | 3,473$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.61 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Rockets | 80c | 3,382$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.06 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Rockets | 63c | 3,165$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.66 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Rockets | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers | 11c | 2,376$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.05 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Lakers | 14c | 2,138$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.86 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…9adabacked Lakers | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 7c | 1,915$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…d727backed Rockets | 66c | 1,745$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Lakers | 23c | 1,666$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.78 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 65c | 1,592$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.48 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Lakers | 3c | 1,570$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Rockets | 59c | 1,548$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.67 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…e4e8backed Rockets | 62c | 1,532$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lakers | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…0dc3backed Lakers | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…6478backed Rockets | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Lakers | 33c | 1,498$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rockets | 61c | 1,473$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.65 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…b9c9backed Lakers | 23c | 1,460$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.26 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…ad40backed Lakers | 40c | 1,406$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers | 30c | 1,341$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.9 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Lakers | 38c | 1,237$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.2 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Rockets | 75c | 1,217$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.42 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Lakers | 18c | 1,130$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Lakers | 12c | 1,100$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Lakers | 3c | 1,050$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Rockets | 64c | 1,022$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.87 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 37c | 1,011$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.08 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked Rockets | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…efefbacked Rockets | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f9…736abacked Lakers | 24c | 990.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.08 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Lakers | 23c | 983.3$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…4769backed Lakers | 32c | 913.18$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Lakers | 38c | 878$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.64 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Lakers | 16c | 823.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Lakers | 39c | 777.12$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.04 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lakers | 5c | 775.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Rockets | 61c | 718.03$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.58 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Lakers | 14c | 713.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91b…65c6backed Lakers | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Rockets | 61c | 655.04$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.47 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Lakers | 39c | 644.76$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.91 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Lakers | 26c | 640$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 61c | 618.19$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.09 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rockets | 62c | 599.98$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rockets | 60c | 580$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Lakers | 9c | 579.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…c566backed Rockets | 63c | 552.7$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04aa…a60ebacked Lakers | 38c | 550.14$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03a1…6901backed Lakers | 17c | 544.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175d…fc7abacked Lakers | 39c | 539.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Rockets | 62c | 514.93$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.79 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets | 71c | 500$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.38 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockets | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Lakers | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Rockets | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…32e3backed Lakers | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Lakers | 31c | 499.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Lakers | 38c | 482.54$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.37 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Rockets | 61c | 480.89$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 70c | 475.94$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.65 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…5b3abacked Lakers | 37c | 474.82$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.61 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Lakers | 24c | 453.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa4…5fb7backed Rockets | 62c | 430.44$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Lakers | 35c | 426$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e1…bf69backed Lakers | 39c | 425.64$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Lakers | 40c | 422.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.93 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lakers | 11c | 419.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Rockets | 74c | 414.13$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…f4ddbacked Rockets | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8254…d536backed Lakers | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Rockets | 78c | 400$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockets | 60c | 398$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.26 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rockets | 62c | 386.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.04 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Lakers | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Lakers | 14c | 365.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Lakers | 35c | 362.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.32 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb144…8db4backed Rockets | 74c | 357.08$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.