NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x239e6b99a9b73ad1194630ef0940eebc5833fa6c227c70537cb5f38ae6154ce9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Celtics, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $423,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Celtics | 70c | 25,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,499.99 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Thunder | 68c | 10,853$7,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.08 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Thunder | 32c | 10,234$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,930.5 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Thunder | 64c | 8,691$5,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.92 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Thunder | 52c | 8,531$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.5 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff8…d95bbacked Thunder | 49c | 6,730$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Celtics | 49c | 6,479$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.7 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…0f64backed Celtics | 51c | 4,836$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Thunder | 53c | 4,633$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.28 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 31c | 4,274$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.57 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Thunder | 27c | 3,964$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.33 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Celtics | 45c | 3,817$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.75 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Celtics | 29c | 3,817$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.27 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Celtics | 11c | 3,737$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.06 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Celtics | 52c | 3,725$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Celtics | 45c | 3,112$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.48 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Celtics | 50c | 3,088$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.91 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Celtics | 47c | 2,800$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…30f8backed Celtics | 69c | 2,793$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Thunder | 53c | 2,700$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics | 32c | 2,634$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.36 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,553$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.72 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Thunder | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.96 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Celtics | 2c | 2,444$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Celtics | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.88 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Celtics | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Celtics | 58c | 1,698$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.69 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 57c | 1,674$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.29 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Celtics | 60c | 1,657$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Thunder | 48c | 1,646$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.94 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Thunder | 54c | 1,612$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.82 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Thunder | 69c | 1,522$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.69 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Thunder | 52c | 1,466$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.75 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Thunder | 50c | 1,455$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.28 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Celtics | 46c | 1,447$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.01 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Thunder | 40c | 1,430$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.89 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Celtics | 71c | 1,418$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.02 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Celtics | 59c | 1,396$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.69 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd95b…188ebacked Thunder | 60c | 1,347$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Thunder | 55c | 1,274$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.1 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Celtics | 51c | 1,193$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.77 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…5b3abacked Celtics | 8c | 1,190$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Celtics | 50c | 1,182$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.9 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c0…a326backed Celtics | 51c | 1,144$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Celtics | 46c | 1,114$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.32 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…3921backed Thunder | 61c | 1,046$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.48 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…0799backed Celtics | 8c | 1,023$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Celtics | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Thunder | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Thunder | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Thunder | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Celtics | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Celtics | 45c | 999.94$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.97 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Celtics | 64c | 992.27$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.39 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…48f2backed Thunder | 53c | 943$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…16a8backed Celtics | 46c | 941.18$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c9…3734backed Celtics | 50c | 931.52$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdb…4f06backed Thunder | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…962abacked Celtics | 47c | 921.28$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Thunder | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 42c | 899.97$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Celtics | 55c | 866$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.3 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…0bc9backed Thunder | 55c | 830.54$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Celtics | 49c | 820.5$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Thunder | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…c046backed Thunder | 39c | 799.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Thunder | 42c | 769.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.99 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Celtics | 76c | 769.45$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.42 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…bf6ebacked Celtics | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Thunder | 51c | 722.39$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.06 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Celtics | 16c | 716.85$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Celtics | 45c | 707.65$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.44 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Thunder | 54c | 703.45$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.45 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Celtics | 61c | 700$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Celtics | 50c | 666.76$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.63 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Celtics | 71c | 666.71$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.36 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics | 45c | 659.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Celtics | 2c | 650$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Thunder | 46c | 610$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.1 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…87f3backed Thunder | 55c | 600.91$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Thunder | 35c | 600.31$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.31 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Celtics | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…903dbacked Celtics | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad71…4c93backed Celtics | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…997fbacked Thunder | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…b10cbacked Thunder | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Celtics | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…9802backed Thunder | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…0de1backed Thunder | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Thunder | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca8dbacked Celtics | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…8e5abacked Celtics | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Thunder | 53c | 580$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.6 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Thunder | 43c | 572$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.82 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Thunder | 52c | 552.96$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.36 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Celtics | 61c | 550$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.7 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Celtics | 45c | 538$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.1 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.