TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Final (M): Sinner vs. Zverev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinnerof Sinner, Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a12…01cebacked Sinner73c12,515$9,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.552245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Sinner72c8,811$6,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,506.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Zverev23c5,480$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.582657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sinner70c5,368$3,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.1339144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Sinner73c4,984$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.45650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3c12backed Zverev27c4,424$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+183.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Zverev3c3,470$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7514345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Zverev27c3,378$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.3916242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2537…eea8backed Zverev30c3,348$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2da…c726backed Zverev19c2,987$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Zverev27c2,415$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.195140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Zverev28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Zverev30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60073147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde1b…f1eabacked Zverev16c1,951$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…2ae0backed Zverev28c1,696$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b430backed Zverev29c1,689$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4f…c049backed Sinner74c1,622$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Zverev29c1,369$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.3712038.3%46 W · 74 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3208…6bedbacked Sinner76c1,265$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.12785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Zverev27c1,228$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Sinner73c1,137$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.995339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Sinner75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Zverev26c950$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.712954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Zverev28c788$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5396…ded6backed Zverev1c700$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Zverev26c700$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Sinner74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6860055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x421e…bc7fbacked Sinner75c672.27$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.631050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Zverev25c446.64$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.662532%8 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76b…97f1backed Zverev16c420$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x037e…e009backed Sinner75c399.97$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.99366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28a0…3528backed Zverev28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Zverev19c339.12$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.138147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd67a…eb69backed Zverev20c300.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.23728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Zverev29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8748043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Sinner73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Zverev5c299.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Zverev28c298.5$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8496035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92aa…0ef5backed Zverev26c271.95$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed Zverev28c261.49$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.15119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-75.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53d2…0c3fbacked Sinner76c261.14$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf12c…000bbacked Zverev28c255.39$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f58…9c6abacked Sinner78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-73.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad85…78fcbacked Zverev28c249.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x701e…ee5fbacked Sinner74c243.38$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Zverev29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5863942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d5a…917ebacked Zverev28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-50.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2d…f0d4backed Zverev28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…eb7bbacked Zverev16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Sinner72c198.28$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.521435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb588…8627backed Zverev28c178.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8452…9056backed Sinner75c174.55$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Zverev21c158.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8244…7a11backed Sinner73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Zverev17c136.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.751850%9 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+63.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Zverev11c136.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512852.3%67 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3fe…978fbacked Sinner78c119.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-15.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x125d…d037backed Zverev29c111.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Zverev27c103$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf433…2178backed Sinner77c101.78$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cd…582abacked Zverev20c100.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Zverev20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…fbdcbacked Zverev25c93.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a03…0fcabacked Zverev20c91.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3358…96bcbacked Sinner74c88.34$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842e…074cbacked Zverev27c87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.492025%5 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Zverev28c81.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.691020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-47.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Sinner80c80$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.381353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sinner72c78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc3…da8abacked Zverev29c70.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2863…497dbacked Zverev28c69.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ec…f502backed Sinner72c69.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a5…fc75backed Zverev29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe929…fd06backed Sinner72c68.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13e…a34dbacked Sinner73c68.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4296…4cb1backed Sinner73c67.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2998…b425backed Sinner76c66.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.871942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0565…80f2backed Zverev23c65.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Zverev16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012134.7%42 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a6d…72eabacked Sinner73c60.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Sinner79c57.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.157356.2%41 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf91a…2af6backed Zverev29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01a6…72e5backed Zverev27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74b…2e05backed Sinner75c46.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Sinner77c46.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6714357.3%82 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Zverev24c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.93636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd6…e388backed Sinner73c44.97$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.141346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aca…95f7backed Sinner73c43.32$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Zverev25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9127…6ff3backed Sinner72c39.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3775…5493backed Zverev29c38.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa740…e0e6backed Sinner71c35.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Sinner72c27.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.725822.4%13 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb480…f5babacked Sinner74c24.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Sinner74c23.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Sinner72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8310956.9%62 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01d0…9ca3backed Sinner77c13.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.