NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11ec2c758c1454a8017d4ae90fa7676f40cc7a97f6bf1bdc347dfb895f29c49c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $554,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 19c | 41,480$7,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,843.33 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Warriors | 20c | 33,033$6,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,585.63 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Warriors | 1c | 14,400$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 16c | 12,855$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.04 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Warriors | 9c | 8,588$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.22 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Lakers | 48c | 7,349$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821.58 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12d…56adbacked Warriors | 52c | 7,136$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Lakers | 61c | 6,476$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.18 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 25c | 5,822$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.78 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Warriors | 15c | 5,252$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.32 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…c7e6backed Lakers | 51c | 5,078$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Warriors | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Warriors | 32c | 4,583$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lakers | 56c | 4,029$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.53 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Lakers | 78c | 3,286$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.89 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Lakers | 49c | 2,903$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.06 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Warriors | 47c | 2,822$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.84 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Warriors | 46c | 2,614$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Lakers | 78c | 2,563$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.06 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Lakers | 48c | 2,547$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.78 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Warriors | 52c | 2,501$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1f1ebacked Warriors | 45c | 2,464$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Warriors | 23c | 2,274$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.61 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Lakers | 62c | 2,239$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.03 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Lakers | 68c | 2,032$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.03 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Warriors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 8c | 2,000$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Warriors | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 48c | 1,870$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.9 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f3…a7dbbacked Warriors | 11c | 1,862$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.62 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Warriors | 43c | 1,751$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 49c | 1,600$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Warriors | 49c | 1,515$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.24 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Lakers | 78c | 1,500$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.06 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…44c4backed Warriors | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…c572backed Lakers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Warriors | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Lakers | 70c | 1,465$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.38 | 191 | 64.9%124 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Lakers | 54c | 1,453$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.69 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Lakers | 58c | 1,137$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.72 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…50c2backed Lakers | 67c | 1,091$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Warriors | 29c | 1,044$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4f…1ec8backed Warriors | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Warriors | 2c | 999.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 51c | 964.96$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.13 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Warriors | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…35fbbacked Warriors | 33c | 902.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Warriors | 19c | 864.57$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors | 39c | 851.48$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.29 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Lakers | 73c | 822.9$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.9 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Lakers | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Warriors | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Warriors | 53c | 788.68$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Lakers | 49c | 782$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.82 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…a5a8backed Lakers | 52c | 768.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.1 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Lakers | 47c | 752.55$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.85 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Warriors | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…1046backed Warriors | 21c | 728.1$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Warriors | 43c | 711.03$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.65 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Warriors | 28c | 708.09$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Warriors | 33c | 700$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Warriors | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Lakers | 51c | 592.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.95 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Warriors | 2c | 560.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Warriors | 30c | 532.96$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.01 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Warriors | 50c | 505$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.57 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Lakers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…003ebacked Lakers | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…846cbacked Lakers | 53c | 487.41$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers | 52c | 463.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.81 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Warriors | 47c | 448.87$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.48 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 51c | 435$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.85 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lakers | 49c | 433.98$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.33 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked Warriors | 52c | 433$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Warriors | 21c | 428.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Warriors | 42c | 415.34$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.38 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Lakers | 76c | 387.24$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Warriors | 46c | 379.81$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.71 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 51c | 378.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.42 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Lakers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lakers | 56c | 369.88$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…2e59backed Lakers | 73c | 358.97$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…1bd6backed Warriors | 19c | 324.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Warriors | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lakers | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Warriors | 23c | 285.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 45c | 282.96$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.59 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Lakers | 50c | 280.04$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.02 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Warriors | 48c | 272.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Warriors | 9c | 271.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Lakers | 52c | 256.86$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Warriors | 44c | 253.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 64c | 252.04$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…cefebacked Warriors | 20c | 250.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…a9d8backed Lakers | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Warriors | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…699dbacked Warriors | 42c | 249.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Warriors | 39c | 240$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Warriors | 47c | 212.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.