NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fb485477526f5669f6edaf19ff7443fd51b63306b0afd0a45b6424a28494a69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Predators | 53c | 5,149$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.74 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Capitals | 47c | 2,248$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.22 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Predators | 55c | 1,790$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.15 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Capitals | 49c | 1,109$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.71 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Predators | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.77 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Predators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.2 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 45c | 1,000$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.72 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…cc3abacked Predators | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Predators | 58c | 1,000$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.5 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…c0f4backed Capitals | 43c | 999.89$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…089abacked Capitals | 46c | 950$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…7b3abacked Predators | 54c | 950$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Capitals | 43c | 701.96$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.12 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 45c | 671.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.15 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Capitals | 42c | 554.93$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.86 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 47c | 523.75$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.75 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Capitals | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Capitals | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Capitals | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Capitals | 48c | 431.94$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.61 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Predators | 57c | 403.51$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…9a8dbacked Capitals | 54c | 353.8$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7684…4d2dbacked Predators | 46c | 353.8$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Capitals | 48c | 302.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Capitals | 45c | 301.59$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.56 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 48c | 299.19$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.82 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Predators | 38c | 298$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 44c | 295.18$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.83 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Predators | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Predators | 58c | 234.08$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 42c | 220$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…75f2backed Predators | 54c | 219$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba8…0db7backed Capitals | 44c | 217.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +129%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Capitals | 45c | 196.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Capitals | 47c | 175.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Capitals | 43c | 175$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Predators | 53c | 155.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…c3c6backed Capitals | 45c | 154.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Predators | 57c | 154.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5065…18f9backed Capitals | 47c | 153.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Capitals | 44c | 139.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Capitals | 45c | 133$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Predators | 54c | 128.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…fe34backed Predators | 57c | 117.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981a…112bbacked Predators | 57c | 108.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Predators | 26c | 103.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Predators | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Capitals | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Capitals | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…a376backed Predators | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Capitals | 45c | 86.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Capitals | 50c | 73.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…9e5cbacked Capitals | 45c | 69.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +66%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Predators | 29c | 67.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Predators | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…ef93backed Capitals | 47c | 63.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…2a3abacked Capitals | 48c | 62.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Predators | 55c | 62.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Capitals | 47c | 61.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Predators | 55c | 54.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Capitals | 44c | 54.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…e377backed Predators | 52c | 54.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Predators | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Predators | 21c | 51.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…b836backed Capitals | 79c | 50.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…f974backed Capitals | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Predators | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b9…05c2backed Predators | 54c | 48.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…b250backed Predators | 53c | 45.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6310backed Capitals | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…bb1bbacked Capitals | 50c | 44.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e45…f17bbacked Capitals | 51c | 44.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…6b66backed Capitals | 46c | 43.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…d2c8backed Predators | 54c | 43.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…36e8backed Capitals | 47c | 42.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…7310backed Predators | 51c | 40.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5b2bbacked Capitals | 47c | 40.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c8…754ebacked Predators | 53c | 40.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…ab2fbacked Capitals | 46c | 38.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06c…ba3cbacked Predators | 51c | 37.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e8…0a37backed Capitals | 49c | 37.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…6a94backed Capitals | 42c | 37.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…8647backed Capitals | 46c | 36.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4a…83f2backed Capitals | 47c | 36.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Capitals | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…decfbacked Capitals | 47c | 35.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…cbdabacked Capitals | 46c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aed…af4bbacked Predators | 54c | 34.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Capitals | 42c | 33.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…ab3dbacked Predators | 54c | 33.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…aa7bbacked Capitals | 46c | 33.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…066ebacked Capitals | 46c | 32.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…5b39backed Predators | 54c | 32.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ab…bdd1backed Predators | 56c | 32.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…2b70backed Predators | 54c | 32.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…cdffbacked Predators | 53c | 32.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…b169backed Capitals | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…cf25backed Predators | 53c | 31.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.