NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d05effa7dba94798c99d091784a73c24e53cf88542ab68626bcb160e5d18b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Stars | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.86 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Blues | 7c | 1,175$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blues | 2c | 1,100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blues | 17c | 1,060$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.24 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Blues | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Blues | 45c | 834.93$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.72 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blues | 14c | 712.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars | 55c | 605.45$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.45 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blues | 44c | 512.93$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.69 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blues | 45c | 443.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Blues | 45c | 326.54$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.95 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blues | 43c | 320.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Stars | 73c | 300$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…61b5backed Stars | 59c | 297.57$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 57c | 201$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blues | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Blues | 44c | 167.32$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Blues | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blues | 44c | 136.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 55c | 125.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afe…528abacked Blues | 47c | 117.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…c4f7backed Stars | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Blues | 45c | 108.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3305…f25fbacked Blues | 45c | 100.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Stars | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Blues | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Stars | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Blues | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stars | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…5fe8backed Blues | 46c | 98.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…f204backed Stars | 55c | 96.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7486…469abacked Stars | 55c | 94.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2007…c513backed Stars | 55c | 90.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876a…d686backed Blues | 46c | 74.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…915bbacked Stars | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…cba9backed Blues | 45c | 65.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed Blues | 44c | 62.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Stars | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Stars | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Stars | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…198cbacked Stars | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Blues | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…09e6backed Stars | 57c | 29.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…2571backed Stars | 56c | 29.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…79b7backed Blues | 45c | 28.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…b084backed Stars | 55c | 25.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…7ebdbacked Stars | 57c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…af06backed Stars | 57c | 19.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.