NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5b12d464ba20bf4cfb45de6040b828e2783e105296fb7dff34ccd67b39245de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Kings, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Kings | 46c | 13,513$6,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,159 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 54c | 9,355$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,279.9 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Oilers | 65c | 3,505$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.4 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 38c | 2,926$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.36 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Oilers | 64c | 2,345$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.05 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Kings | 34c | 2,301$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.33 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Oilers | 57c | 1,339$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.94 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Oilers | 60c | 1,338$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.77 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oilers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Kings | 2c | 940.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…ddfdbacked Oilers | 66c | 799.99$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a2…23e0backed Oilers | 62c | 738.25$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…14f4backed Kings | 38c | 733.4$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Kings | 35c | 727.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.79 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Kings | 2c | 725.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 37c | 704.96$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.83 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…76bfbacked Oilers | 62c | 627.18$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers | 63c | 617.89$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.62 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Oilers | 66c | 613.64$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.64 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Oilers | 65c | 599.92$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.97 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kings | 44c | 581$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…882cbacked Oilers | 62c | 514.09$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…3560backed Kings | 38c | 514.09$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Kings | 42c | 509.9$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.64 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…1fffbacked Oilers | 62c | 500.99$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55de…aed6backed Kings | 38c | 491.1$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…dd66backed Kings | 38c | 477.27$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…0dc6backed Oilers | 62c | 477.27$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…2ed5backed Oilers | 67c | 464.93$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3953…2b73backed Kings | 33c | 464.93$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…ad40backed Kings | 34c | 440$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Oilers | 53c | 419.04$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.79 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked Kings | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…4adbbacked Kings | 38c | 388.4$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3420…1856backed Oilers | 62c | 388.4$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 58c | 376.54$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.26 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…38d0backed Kings | 38c | 370.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…60f6backed Kings | 38c | 320.73$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Oilers | 66c | 303.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kings | 37c | 300.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…1aecbacked Oilers | 62c | 292.31$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…38f8backed Kings | 38c | 292.31$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Kings | 35c | 285.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 25c | 273.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Oilers | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b9…b0f5backed Oilers | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…6d4ebacked Kings | 38c | 249$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers | 65c | 242.95$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…fd6cbacked Kings | 34c | 225.25$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Kings | 19c | 224.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb7…1132backed Kings | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Kings | 39c | 217.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Kings | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…767bbacked Kings | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4d…58bebacked Oilers | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Oilers | 61c | 199.93$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 7c | 160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…dc4dbacked Oilers | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Oilers | 64c | 139.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…61aabacked Kings | 34c | 133.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…5257backed Oilers | 63c | 131.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a8f9backed Kings | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 36c | 129.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…a0f0backed Oilers | 62c | 126.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…b248backed Kings | 40c | 123.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…eb68backed Kings | 42c | 119.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Kings | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…6987backed Oilers | 66c | 117.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Kings | 41c | 117.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb432…88e4backed Kings | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…3115backed Kings | 38c | 101.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…d9e2backed Kings | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7890…8a9bbacked Oilers | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Oilers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…7a92backed Oilers | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…d038backed Kings | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…07d7backed Kings | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Kings | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Oilers | 63c | 96.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3c…7371backed Oilers | 66c | 95.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Oilers | 64c | 95.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Oilers | 65c | 92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Oilers | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Kings | 35c | 87.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…dad2backed Kings | 38c | 84.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…ba32backed Kings | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Oilers | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c5…0feebacked Kings | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb498…335bbacked Oilers | 64c | 78.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ef…69f4backed Oilers | 66c | 77.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…3f7dbacked Kings | 35c | 77.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…25ccbacked Oilers | 65c | 73.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe819…24f8backed Kings | 38c | 72.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Kings | 35c | 69.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6547backed Kings | 36c | 69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…0c36backed Oilers | 64c | 68.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.