NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b36c1de760589cc6bb0dcf2836e29da55aa2d3c4cb629d0bea4be81e55a45ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Kings | 40c | 15,871$6,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,532.31 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Warriors | 60c | 10,583$6,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,350.09 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Kings | 42c | 10,504$4,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,063.33 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kings | 40c | 5,675$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.76 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Warriors | 60c | 5,236$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.35 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Kings | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Warriors | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 16c | 5,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Warriors | 61c | 4,550$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.59 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…508ebacked Warriors | 58c | 4,300$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Warriors | 1c | 4,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings | 51c | 3,923$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.8 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 44c | 3,787$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.58 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Kings | 40c | 3,362$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.13 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Warriors | 60c | 3,321$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Kings | 42c | 3,050$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.61 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 1c | 3,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Warriors | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Warriors | 60c | 3,000$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa683…b03bbacked Kings | 42c | 2,702$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Warriors | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Warriors | 9c | 1,693$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.96 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…ad17backed Kings | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Warriors | 59c | 1,318$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.51 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Warriors | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…a71cbacked Kings | 42c | 1,180$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.65 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…ad40backed Warriors | 59c | 1,092$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.69 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…6d6cbacked Kings | 40c | 1,090$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Warriors | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Warriors | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Kings | 39c | 1,000$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 59c | 975.61$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.61 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Kings | 40c | 918.57$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.77 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 40c | 835.2$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.24 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Warriors | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…efefbacked Warriors | 58c | 827$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Warriors | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Warriors | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 40c | 756.09$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.03 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…9e96backed Kings | 41c | 734.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Warriors | 6c | 715.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Warriors | 35c | 699.43$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.76 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Kings | 41c | 696.39$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…8ec8backed Warriors | 60c | 673$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Warriors | 58c | 626.03$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.11 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings | 40c | 603.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.94 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 45c | 600$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Warriors | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Kings | 40c | 590.92$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.03 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Warriors | 57c | 580$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.6 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Warriors | 51c | 571$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.21 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Warriors | 23c | 538.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Warriors | 61c | 537.69$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.99 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…87f3backed Kings | 42c | 500.31$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Warriors | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…6925backed Warriors | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Kings | 42c | 499.93$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.96 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Warriors | 60c | 499.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.78 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Kings | 72c | 495.39$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.71 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Warriors | 47c | 454.42$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…461abacked Kings | 40c | 449.83$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.4 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e1…bf69backed Warriors | 59c | 424.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Kings | 51c | 421.15$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.15 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…98cbbacked Kings | 43c | 416.28$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…f5eebacked Kings | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…08c3backed Warriors | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Warriors | 12c | 392.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Warriors | 59c | 383.62$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.51 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings | 40c | 374.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.97 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Kings | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Kings | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Warriors | 59c | 341.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Warriors | 58c | 330$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Warriors | 61c | 328.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f9…736abacked Kings | 40c | 306$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Kings | 73c | 292.5$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed Kings | 41c | 273.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Kings | 40c | 271.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.94 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Warriors | 19c | 262.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Warriors | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Warriors | 17c | 254.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Kings | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…bd26backed Warriors | 47c | 226.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Warriors | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Kings | 70c | 210.56$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a1…6901backed Warriors | 60c | 200.83$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Warriors | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Warriors | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 293 | 55.3%162 W · 131 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Warriors | 59c | 194.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe449…57cfbacked Kings | 41c | 192.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Warriors | 44c | 180$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd09…4198backed Warriors | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Warriors | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Warriors | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Warriors | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Warriors | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Kings | 40c | 162.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.