TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flames vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Flames, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x574e…3ef1backed Flames46c10,267$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,713.645843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Blues55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.9631849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blues54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9201,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Blues53c1,894$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.0135545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Blues56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55010739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Flames1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Flames1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Blues53c837.13$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.4531334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Blues54c802$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.9229847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Blues55c750$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.825340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues55c724.35$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.751,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd67a…eb69backed Flames2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flames45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Flames9c499.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Blues55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1808537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Flames7c345.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8314949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Flames45c306.45$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.63754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Flames45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blues54c300$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Flames40c286.89$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6862944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Flames43c228.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.31,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Flames45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Flames6c217$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.911895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd29a…c155backed Flames45c110.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x541e…e793backed Blues56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed Flames45c110$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames16c100.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf4…3808backed Flames45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Flames44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4413953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Flames45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9950049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…60c4backed Blues56c99.75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Blues53c98.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.341851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x111e…e61abacked Flames45c95.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blues53c94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9128…0b5abacked Blues56c93.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43bb…13bbbacked Blues56c91.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3846…3b9abacked Blues56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Flames45c88.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Blues55c82.81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9848654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blues55c75.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Blues56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4319057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Blues56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4328542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Blues53c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3247249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Flames45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Blues53c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0958346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x807b…574cbacked Flames44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d2…c25dbacked Blues56c44.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.651861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f42…7d44backed Flames45c44.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f2…0b2dbacked Flames45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204050%20 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Blues55c42.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1819150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc13…11e1backed Flames47c39.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c07…2b0fbacked Blues57c39.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d5…c5a1backed Flames47c38.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Blues56c35.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.727153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb06…fcf6backed Blues56c35.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bf…ff31backed Flames43c34.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6025…afa4backed Blues57c34.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8220…2e43backed Flames44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…1f39backed Flames39c32.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x855e…17b8backed Flames43c32.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c4…14bdbacked Blues60c31.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.75650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b2…0e41backed Flames45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3af…8a32backed Blues56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa062…4e3fbacked Flames45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0372…7bafbacked Blues56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0508…9fd8backed Blues56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde8d…2701backed Flames45c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b68…07d4backed Blues53c29.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc7…38fabacked Flames44c29.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ecc…e341backed Flames43c28.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…5d0cbacked Blues57c28.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…d1f0backed Blues57c28.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17e…2630backed Flames43c27.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc77…8876backed Blues57c27.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.01757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e21…36c9backed Blues56c27.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.05785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fc3…e03bbacked Flames39c27.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7c…b419backed Blues61c27.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.654100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19a0…2fdcbacked Blues53c26.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a4d…8ab4backed Blues56c25.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad77…5f3dbacked Flames43c25.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe210…4257backed Blues58c24.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5741…507ebacked Blues57c24.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb307…ce1abacked Flames43c24.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0390…f851backed Flames44c24.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd20a…ccf2backed Flames43c24.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f6…3da0backed Flames44c23.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe980…75e1backed Blues56c22.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.031540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dda…e576backed Blues60c22.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.964100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fa0…86f6backed Blues56c22.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9673…42bcbacked Blues56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9e4…e646backed Blues56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de2…1166backed Blues57c21.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.385100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7903…bd65backed Blues56c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.431369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed43…8cedbacked Blues61c20.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08dd…29fbbacked Blues56c20.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8175…e4b8backed Blues56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4645…7cddbacked Blues56c19.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.38875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb1…ac43backed Blues54c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd302…1594backed Blues56c18.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2e…a0bdbacked Blues57c18.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.