TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Penguins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Senators, Penguins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33ec…2682backed Penguins50c10,049$5,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,024.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x663a…12e0backed Senators50c10,012$5,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,006.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Penguins6c3,458$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.514949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Penguins2c3,400$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins7c2,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7684…4d2dbacked Senators73c2,141$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.921258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins1c2,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5650…8cbabacked Penguins27c1,936$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Senators77c1,542$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.985858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f51…2019backed Penguins14c1,370$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.732218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Senators51c1,126$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.5420147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Penguins2c1,098$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.257450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Penguins49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f9…f3babacked Penguins54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Penguins8c753.04$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6631334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Senators50c702$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35129847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Senators46c678.19$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.2213655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd45…63bfbacked Penguins49c499.73$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.871656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators70c479.16$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.223,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Penguins17c447.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1635545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Penguins48c417.82$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…c4bbbacked Penguins49c409.98$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Penguins25c406.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8906…b442backed Senators51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Senators52c391.81$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3885464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Senators51c374.55$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.5354349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Senators58c329.52$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2616554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Senators51c228.27$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.981,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins48c205$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Penguins49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed Penguins55c195.75$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.831050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Penguins49c164.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.374452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Penguins49c151.83$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ee…8531backed Senators51c145.1$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0214…3e86backed Senators51c144.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c65…3b35backed Penguins14c125.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.151145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c5…e14bbacked Penguins14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.812744.9%57 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2385…bbe0backed Senators51c101.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Senators63c100.01$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.674045%18 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Senators76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Senators52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486050%30 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6002…19f5backed Senators52c99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa69d…b9adbacked Senators79c97.43$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.261070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x894f…72c4backed Senators52c69.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c7d…97d1backed Penguins49c62.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75fd…f140backed Senators51c57.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e6…46b2backed Senators51c52.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.94977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a9f…7dacbacked Senators51c52.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.94944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabff…f878backed Penguins49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5c0…55a0backed Senators52c50.44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd67a…eb69backed Penguins20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Penguins36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1872448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Senators46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2713846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Penguins50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6961…66a7backed Senators52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3c…750bbacked Senators52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.082958.6%17 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1241…c496backed Penguins49c47.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Senators80c46.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2517054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins49c44.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0704…5ef0backed Penguins50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c0…b9bebacked Penguins49c43.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac9…7b38backed Senators51c40.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18f9…5d32backed Penguins50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…b78abacked Penguins50c39.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Penguins55c39.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4818452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x534f…8b8abacked Penguins48c37.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09b0…f438backed Senators50c37.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad77…5f3dbacked Penguins50c37.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45fb…fe11backed Penguins50c36.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.09850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5247…67b9backed Penguins50c32.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.261060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83f9…912cbacked Penguins50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+56.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a21…7cfcbacked Senators51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…44b0backed Senators51c28.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.161136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20b6…d59abacked Penguins48c27.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c7…356abacked Penguins48c27.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x438e…b01abacked Senators52c27.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.232556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6b…bfecbacked Senators52c26.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba9e…0e9bbacked Senators51c26.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c7a…34ebbacked Penguins49c25.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.572356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d85…859fbacked Senators51c25.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x885a…0b49backed Senators52c24.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.691070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bd5…e441backed Senators47c24.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ce…5e49backed Penguins49c24.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…e610backed Penguins50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e1…63abbacked Penguins50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7e…16fdbacked Senators52c23.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fc…6ef6backed Penguins49c23.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa761…990ebacked Senators52c23.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.291844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc04…531abacked Penguins49c23.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdba…13b9backed Senators47c23.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf71…03e6backed Penguins50c22.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.37742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90d0…c11bbacked Senators52c22.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb757…3f29backed Penguins49c22.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb78e…85a9backed Senators51c22.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8c…02fcbacked Penguins49c22.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.832060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffc0…96a2backed Senators51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe155…3b5fbacked Penguins49c21.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.662040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6218…36e8backed Senators51c21.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.572751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2fb…783fbacked Penguins49c21.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.522133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.