NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cf6a8c35aef92d93979357c11b2f391cf361468c98a4b7d1671b9ae276f999c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Devils, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Canadiens | 41c | 6,749$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Devils | 59c | 4,520$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.75 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Canadiens | 40c | 3,241$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Devils | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Devils | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.94 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Devils | 60c | 1,362$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.77 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 15c | 1,018$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Canadiens | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Devils | 56c | 919.54$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 69c | 865.99$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.66 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 41c | 818.99$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.47 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Canadiens | 49c | 611.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens | 43c | 591.17$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.65 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Devils | 51c | 519.29$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.09 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Devils | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Devils | 60c | 496.84$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.73 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Canadiens | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Canadiens | 25c | 393.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Devils | 53c | 368.12$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.02 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Canadiens | 39c | 302.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Devils | 58c | 243.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Devils | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Devils | 65c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Canadiens | 38c | 199.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Devils | 76c | 186$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Devils | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Canadiens | 26c | 168.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…4249backed Devils | 58c | 168.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c5…e14bbacked Canadiens | 34c | 161$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens | 11c | 144.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Devils | 60c | 115.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…154bbacked Canadiens | 40c | 112.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canadiens | 14c | 111.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3305…f25fbacked Devils | 62c | 105.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Devils | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Canadiens | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Canadiens | 39c | 99.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Devils | 59c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Canadiens | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Devils | 54c | 79.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…de92backed Devils | 62c | 77.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Canadiens | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Canadiens | 50c | 65.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Devils | 61c | 59.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1665…a0bebacked Canadiens | 43c | 56.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Canadiens | 40c | 56.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…f2b7backed Devils | 53c | 47.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Canadiens | 40c | 37.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…4441backed Devils | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6892…20c5backed Devils | 62c | 34.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Devils | 60c | 33.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Devils | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Devils | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed Devils | 60c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Canadiens | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Devils | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e3…310ebacked Canadiens | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.