NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Canucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01fa47f1bd8f8698036d0447bd2c7abb4c4453b25bc796bf3f76062eac10ce4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Capitals, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canucks | 77c | 6,043$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.5 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Capitals | 51c | 5,590$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Capitals | 17c | 4,265$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.82 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Canucks | 46c | 2,931$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.74 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Canucks | 65c | 2,730$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.25 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Canucks | 45c | 2,059$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.15 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 58c | 1,999$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.55 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Capitals | 53c | 1,838$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.36 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Canucks | 47c | 1,670$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.4 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Capitals | 40c | 1,584$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.29 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Capitals | 52c | 1,500$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canucks | 45c | 1,229$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.94 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 4c | 1,200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Capitals | 4c | 1,125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Capitals | 55c | 1,028$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.33 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,017$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 21c | 999.98$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.69 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Canucks | 47c | 899.82$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.3 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Canucks | 79c | 873.52$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.77 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Capitals | 56c | 694.74$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Canucks | 64c | 668.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.22 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Capitals | 37c | 663.4$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.69 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Capitals | 52c | 663.05$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.79 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…3917backed Capitals | 55c | 621.4$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Canucks | 47c | 505$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.92 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Canucks | 47c | 504.92$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.48 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Capitals | 37c | 500$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Capitals | 36c | 482.06$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Capitals | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Canucks | 46c | 399.81$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.9 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Canucks | 47c | 381$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.68 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfae…00e4backed Capitals | 56c | 321.3$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Capitals | 34c | 289.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 55c | 262.55$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Canucks | 46c | 244.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Canucks | 45c | 202.85$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…4249backed Capitals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Capitals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…f1d6backed Capitals | 54c | 179.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e47…925ebacked Capitals | 30c | 163.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Capitals | 38c | 154.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Capitals | 36c | 134.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…2e36backed Canucks | 46c | 115.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Capitals | 26c | 111.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b966backed Capitals | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…5a16backed Canucks | 46c | 109.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…a05bbacked Canucks | 47c | 105.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Canucks | 47c | 105.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Capitals | 55c | 100.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…5335backed Canucks | 46c | 100.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canucks | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Capitals | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0d…1598backed Capitals | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Capitals | 53c | 99.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…946dbacked Canucks | 46c | 98.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…01d6backed Capitals | 55c | 93.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…681bbacked Capitals | 55c | 92.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Capitals | 22c | 92.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…6134backed Capitals | 55c | 91.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0896…d5b3backed Capitals | 55c | 90.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…d9b2backed Capitals | 55c | 88.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…7b97backed Capitals | 55c | 87.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b96bbacked Capitals | 55c | 87.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals | 52c | 87.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…8b73backed Capitals | 55c | 87.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Capitals | 17c | 87.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf850…886bbacked Capitals | 55c | 86.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…465abacked Capitals | 55c | 84.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Capitals | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…ae8ebacked Canucks | 46c | 79.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6047…74c0backed Canucks | 46c | 74.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…d370backed Canucks | 47c | 72.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Capitals | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd29…55ccbacked Canucks | 46c | 69.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Canucks | 47c | 63.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c4…107cbacked Canucks | 46c | 61.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…c70cbacked Capitals | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…f2b7backed Canucks | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…6d77backed Canucks | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Capitals | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…900fbacked Capitals | 55c | 46.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…1bd7backed Capitals | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…198cbacked Capitals | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…3607backed Capitals | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…b084backed Capitals | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…9010backed Canucks | 51c | 22.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Capitals | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.