TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb52e…9010

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 52 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-58.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.7
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$37.9
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.78
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.85
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.72
Will Ethereum reach $4800 September 8–14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+51.2%+$16.33
Will Ethereum dip to $4200 August 25–31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+61.4%+$36.88
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.77
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.09
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.39
Bitcoin all time high in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-64.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.2
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$34.3
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$54.6
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$25.36
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+97.9%+$10.08
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. Rutgersbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$8.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$5.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.