Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Bitcoin all time high in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac6673f75b218f30b3721377bb612b1cde7120e642cf82533e01b29bd097e169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $754,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $840,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $754,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked No | 1c | 108,246$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.42 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 77c | 93,463$72,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,148.33 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 50c | 52,350$26,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,073.8 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 57c | 35,535$20,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,311.98 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 46c | 32,572$14,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,577.4 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed Yes | 23c | 20,330$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,639.56 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…5f1bbacked No | 29c | 15,788$4,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…1a14backed No | 44c | 13,588$5,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,953.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed No | 49c | 10,104$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,958.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…dd04backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…a41dbacked No | 43c | 9,538$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,095.02 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffd…d225backed No | 32c | 8,704$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 47c | 8,382$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 26c | 7,810$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 73c | 7,267$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,288.88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes | 60c | 6,000$3,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 31c | 5,543$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.59 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 52c | 4,840$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.03 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked No | 10c | 4,605$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.21 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf388…7f67backed Yes | 45c | 4,407$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbc…0a28backed No | 76c | 3,640$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…2124backed Yes | 55c | 3,600$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…c5f6backed Yes | 21c | 3,333$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.02 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…e089backed Yes | 55c | 3,269$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 22c | 3,205$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.66 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436a…f32abacked Yes | 32c | 3,158$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc9…253bbacked Yes | 68c | 3,138$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 70c | 3,000$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.96 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 67c | 2,984$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 69c | 2,957$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.77 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…eb50backed No | 49c | 2,856$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24c…88f2backed No | 61c | 2,758$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 24c | 2,432$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.42 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Yes | 60c | 2,338$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.07 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +96%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…b613backed No | 49c | 2,263$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 60c | 2,256$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.26 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…19bcbacked No | 74c | 2,035$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked Yes | 45c | 2,031$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.85 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked No | 49c | 1,950$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.75 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,616$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.68 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked No | 41c | 1,614$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc5…66dabacked Yes | 61c | 1,585$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 37c | 1,500$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d42…7214backed No | 77c | 1,459$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 49c | 1,443$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.66 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 50c | 1,419$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.4 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked No | 6c | 1,306$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +297.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…4a64backed No | 49c | 1,229$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…f6e4backed Yes | 42c | 1,225$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed No | 50c | 1,200$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…5cd1backed No | 79c | 1,163$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed Yes | 21c | 1,105$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.69 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 3c | 1,086$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.81 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 71c | 1,070$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.15 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…096fbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 77c | 1,000$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 29c | 971.43$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.05 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…8298backed Yes | 56c | 861.61$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 74c | 802.34$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 76c | 799.99$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a27…a6c2backed Yes | 39c | 774.88$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 70c | 770.01$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.3 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 766.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 60c | 669$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.6 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…eb94backed No | 4c | 649.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Yes | 56c | 642.25$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c594backed Yes | 57c | 625.3$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…b937backed Yes | 57c | 583.67$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 43c | 555$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed Yes | 52c | 529$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 58c | 515.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…3102backed Yes | 34c | 513.01$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 22c | 510$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…9239backed Yes | 64c | 469.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…3b90backed No | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e3…4aaebacked Yes | 57c | 461.6$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…874fbacked Yes | 77c | 457$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…fe3dbacked No | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…f447backed No | 79c | 453.85$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…de3abacked Yes | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 40c | 434.25$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.58 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed No | 48c | 417.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b486backed Yes | 73c | 412.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1885…eb78backed Yes | 59c | 402.05$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…054cbacked Yes | 62c | 390.55$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed No | 59c | 383.16$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2fa9backed Yes | 21c | 376$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.14 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…22babacked No | 10c | 364$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f9…0021backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe688…5f8fbacked No | 12c | 349.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 59c | 310.87$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 68c | 304.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.85 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…5d89backed No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…af6ebacked No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…8b7bbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…7b42backed No | 77c | 299.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…6278backed No | 71c | 284.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 53c | 260.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.