Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f44bb884816961bfab420c7b346e4f30437ee22abfc449be3864d3db2266eab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,662,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,125,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,662,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 796 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31d8…e99bbacked Yes | 7c | 522,885$35,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,082.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…8cc4backed Yes | 3c | 355,453$11,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,712.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77dc…7897backed Yes | 21c | 134,184$28,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,490.03 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…8acabacked Yes | 36c | 125,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,999.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff6…a2d5backed Yes | 1c | 90,166$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed No | 50c | 67,900$33,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,950 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554c…071fbacked Yes | 17c | 57,805$9,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,859.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Yes | 27c | 54,200$14,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,578.12 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…bd4dbacked Yes | 2c | 50,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…60bbbacked Yes | 11c | 47,991$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,510 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 56c | 46,152$25,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,450.3 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…67c6backed Yes | 4c | 34,445$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 34,279$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 28c | 34,183$9,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,715.46 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 24c | 33,147$7,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,816.28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked No | 64c | 31,495$20,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,326.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 51c | 30,001$15,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,347.17 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…4612backed Yes | 6c | 27,016$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fa…6ebabacked Yes | 13c | 26,806$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.42per pick | 51cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…b8d7backed Yes | 5c | 26,357$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…2143backed Yes | 38c | 25,865$9,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,810.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…918cbacked No | 68c | 25,687$17,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,143.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 13c | 21,917$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.29 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 20c | 21,673$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 2c | 21,399$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.3 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed No | 63c | 20,761$12,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,780.02 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…8967backed Yes | 5c | 19,599$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked No | 68c | 18,833$12,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,970.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e7ebbacked Yes | 8c | 18,732$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 72c | 18,694$13,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.33 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…3d04backed Yes | 56c | 18,420$10,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,225.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98c3…b28dbacked No | 57c | 17,621$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,620.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…d9e3backed Yes | 32c | 17,257$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…d9c2backed Yes | 16c | 16,693$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…72dbbacked Yes | 10c | 16,056$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 7c | 15,656$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…d36fbacked Yes | 33c | 15,287$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…84a4backed Yes | 34c | 14,887$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 62c | 14,794$9,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,592.78 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…15e4backed No | 71c | 13,994$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.12 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 48c | 13,805$6,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,558.56 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 34c | 13,228$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.2 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…c5f6backed Yes | 20c | 12,999$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 17c | 12,461$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.84 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…4a8cbacked Yes | 14c | 12,437$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 18c | 10,317$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…f277backed No | 50c | 10,023$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 13c | 10,020$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.23 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…37c1backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e0…b495backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 41c | 9,785$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,798.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 72c | 9,589$6,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.77 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 9,522$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.69 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…a417backed Yes | 4c | 9,301$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…96bbbacked Yes | 23c | 8,964$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…4018backed Yes | 23c | 8,934$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 10c | 8,749$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.9 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x795c…2093backed No | 37c | 8,733$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,473.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…7122backed Yes | 37c | 8,500$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa37f…db31backed Yes | 5c | 8,380$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…43b0backed Yes | 9c | 8,020$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…fda5backed Yes | 33c | 7,924$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.06 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 75c | 7,486$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.66 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 10c | 7,207$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.91 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…a02abacked Yes | 10c | 7,074$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eff…6c34backed Yes | 7c | 6,771$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…6451backed Yes | 17c | 6,642$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…70b0backed Yes | 6c | 6,343$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 53c | 5,968$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.26 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 72c | 5,392$3,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.41 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab3…e2a2backed Yes | 17c | 5,331$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d3…7acbbacked Yes | 19c | 5,294$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 44c | 5,294$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.44 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.18 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…a6d9backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.07 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.96 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…8702backed Yes | 4c | 4,877$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8a97backed Yes | 19c | 4,870$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 23c | 4,837$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.28 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,700$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…8406backed Yes | 11c | 4,475$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…823abacked Yes | 2c | 4,206$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…5d11backed Yes | 15c | 4,070$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd06…c715backed Yes | 3c | 4,028$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Yes | 35c | 4,012$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 50c | 3,904$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.03 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 12c | 3,872$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.23 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…e50abacked Yes | 13c | 3,759$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…a97abacked Yes | 22c | 3,752$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551f…cebdbacked Yes | 9c | 3,641$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…2966backed Yes | 51c | 3,547$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 3,484$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.52 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff65…8725backed Yes | 6c | 3,478$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…46ebbacked Yes | 15c | 3,334$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8c…5238backed Yes | 15c | 3,307$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…35b3backed Yes | 3c | 3,291$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…3748backed Yes | 15c | 3,270$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.