Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18785897515c0bc46fc654432bcdec0e73d9f4e013d5a6d0b6253d15dff1d450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 41c | 89,000$36,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,479.03 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…aa68backed No | 0c | 84,140$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked Yes | 50c | 37,129$18,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,584.77 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 38c | 25,979$9,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,030.26 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 29c | 24,482$7,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,299.89 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 32c | 19,993$6,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,624.59 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 35c | 17,677$6,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,533.84 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 30c | 14,134$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,844.41 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed Yes | 65c | 12,667$8,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.31 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd1…2365backed No | 71c | 11,000$7,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,809.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14e…f64cbacked No | 57c | 9,000$5,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,090 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 37c | 8,483$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,379.79 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 32c | 6,731$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550.08 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…2a7fbacked Yes | 33c | 6,029$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +201.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55fa…6ebabacked No | 63c | 5,628$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.51 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.42per pick | 51cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 71c | 5,475$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…62d0backed No | 64c | 5,050$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.8wins | -0.59per pick | 72cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…4eb6backed Yes | 22c | 4,570$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed Yes | 54c | 3,418$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.07 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked No | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes | 54c | 3,000$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.86 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 29c | 2,985$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.14 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 74c | 2,942$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.24 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 21c | 2,781$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.96 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed Yes | 53c | 2,600$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.16 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 24c | 2,566$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.64 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 41c | 2,550$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…b396backed No | 72c | 2,029$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…ca72backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…cec9backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +8.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +301.4%equal weight | 75+0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 55c | 1,850$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.75 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…a35cbacked No | 72c | 1,765$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…8406backed No | 64c | 1,723$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…6819backed No | 65c | 1,673$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…6913backed No | 75c | 1,634$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbc…6c76backed No | 65c | 1,587$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…57a7backed No | 75c | 1,575$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3a26backed No | 79c | 1,550$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…4bcabacked No | 78c | 1,550$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…826abacked No | 79c | 1,534$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…6768backed No | 77c | 1,497$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d4…92f5backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…0fb3backed No | 75c | 1,453$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…4986backed No | 77c | 1,451$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…a77fbacked No | 75c | 1,431$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…2542backed No | 76c | 1,419$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked No | 66c | 1,400$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd04…6382backed Yes | 20c | 1,247$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +398.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed No | 38c | 1,150$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked No | 38c | 1,010$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.9 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 22c | 1,006$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.32 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…bbb1backed No | 77c | 1,000$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…8c91backed No | 80c | 999.15$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.32 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…676dbacked Yes | 23c | 941.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.45 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 29c | 843.76$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.79 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…3fc6backed No | 59c | 750$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…b3ccbacked No | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 28c | 676$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.64 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 70c | 642.72$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.97 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…7abcbacked No | 26c | 571.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…e2f0backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda8…790ebacked Yes | 19c | 499.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 49c | 411.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 79c | 360$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.4 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…f642backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…c01cbacked Yes | 35c | 346.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.33per pick | 14cpaid | +200.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…1076backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde89…c286backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked No | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 30c | 298$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.56 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +13.9wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…a2a3backed Yes | 35c | 287.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…9684backed No | 67c | 280$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 20c | 237.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.11 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed Yes | 33c | 219.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.62 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…f0fdbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8395…0454backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…b52cbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 58c | 148.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x446a…af10backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…210ebacked No | 74c | 142.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f66…a655backed No | 77c | 142.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 33c | 134.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91eb…cebbbacked No | 76c | 129.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…34e6backed No | 80c | 128.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e05…de0abacked No | 74c | 108.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…2d50backed No | 78c | 108.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…f6f3backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4640…7137backed Yes | 25c | 103.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +108%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x96ed…3f71backed No | 74c | 96.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc94…7a23backed No | 74c | 93.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…429abacked No | 73c | 92.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.