Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5916bb83d8de8d3ab5a25611ce40b89a89227515a1f6c99fa40b04549ca5a8fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,031,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,073,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,031,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadc6…d5e0backed Yes | 0c | 129,999$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 9c | 50,000$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490.35 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 5c | 47,167$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 8c | 42,046$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 1c | 41,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…d65fbacked Yes | 0c | 37,316$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 35,470$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 31,517$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 31,266$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 30,144$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.85 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05da…ae41backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…22a1backed Yes | 0c | 21,025$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 7c | 17,286$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.02 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…82debacked Yes | 5c | 14,727$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…8406backed Yes | 2c | 14,264$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.1 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…9ceabacked Yes | 6c | 14,187$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…c004backed Yes | 1c | 14,187$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 6c | 14,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 11,766$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.36 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 2c | 10,848$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.27 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 10,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 7c | 10,058$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.68 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…f20cbacked Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6900…e8fdbacked Yes | 7c | 9,802$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…8cc4backed Yes | 0c | 8,824$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Yes | 3c | 8,665$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.04 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…c093backed Yes | 1c | 8,544$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…a274backed Yes | 2c | 8,301$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…feebbacked Yes | 8c | 7,631$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…8545backed Yes | 1c | 7,520$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…37c1backed Yes | 9c | 7,329$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.01 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked Yes | 1c | 6,513$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…daf3backed Yes | 9c | 6,357$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.13 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…06febacked Yes | 0c | 6,135$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…e50abacked Yes | 1c | 5,846$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 5c | 5,840$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.61 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 7c | 5,769$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.87 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdc…efadbacked Yes | 0c | 5,620$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d9…811abacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 7c | 5,389$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927d…301abacked Yes | 0c | 5,154$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 3c | 4,976$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…d19abacked Yes | 3c | 4,499$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…dfd1backed Yes | 3c | 4,149$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 5c | 4,127$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.43 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,122$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…49e9backed Yes | 1c | 4,028$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 13c | 3,984$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba5…e27bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,850$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 6c | 3,839$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.76 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +519.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…fda5backed Yes | 11c | 3,508$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.79 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 3c | 3,500$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…c30ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,455$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0b…5132backed Yes | 1c | 3,426$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Yes | 0c | 3,250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,155$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,107$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…2b52backed Yes | 10c | 3,020$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…b704backed Yes | 3c | 2,872$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,724$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.09 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 4c | 2,381$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 11c | 2,196$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.73 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b53…708bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,039$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…b8b7backed Yes | 7c | 1,964$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…b404backed Yes | 10c | 1,944$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…0e09backed Yes | 9c | 1,899$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,893$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.64 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a3…a3a6backed Yes | 8c | 1,881$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…f701backed Yes | 2c | 1,876$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…ed3abacked Yes | 5c | 1,851$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 5c | 1,776$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 7c | 1,711$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.38 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…da7ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,613$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,562$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…8be0backed Yes | 1c | 1,503$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…f655backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e8…1031backed Yes | 6c | 1,464$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc5…05e7backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…ea5bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,303$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…ce9fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,190$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,182$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ef…31a0backed Yes | 11c | 1,146$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0022…c6ffbacked Yes | 7c | 1,142$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…c575backed Yes | 8c | 1,042$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…b7b2backed Yes | 6c | 1,016$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…b27dbacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb466…4340backed Yes | 1c | 999.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca7…74d3backed Yes | 1c | 999.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…618dbacked Yes | 8c | 936.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…1676backed Yes | 9c | 906.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 8c | 888$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…f1eabacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d6…6e3cbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 8c | 605.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…e269backed Yes | 6c | 603.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf659…d1fabacked Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc4…9d29backed Yes | 3c | 596.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d8…8bb3backed Yes | 9c | 552.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.