Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43e912a5e140862d71b15e7a78ce54fe87703642fef909c2bf191aec9a9e80c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $871,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $876,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $871,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ed3…aa68backed No | 0c | 586,485$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed No | 57c | 22,964$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…ca72backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 50c | 19,999$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.51 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 48c | 16,571$7,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,613.59 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 31c | 8,834$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,053.06 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed No | 41c | 8,587$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.56 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 38c | 8,495$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,244.38 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked Yes | 43c | 8,468$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,824.79 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 14c | 6,293$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.66 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 42c | 5,637$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.4 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 26c | 5,574$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125.04 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…17dabacked No | 62c | 5,550$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…2a7fbacked Yes | 55c | 5,454$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +201.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 24c | 5,312$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.07 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 53c | 5,249$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.81 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…775fbacked No | 74c | 5,011$3,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,708.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4b…8d73backed No | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.93 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e91…e495backed No | 1c | 3,020$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 13c | 2,550$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.25 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84c…f3c0backed No | 62c | 2,447$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fa…6ebabacked No | 38c | 2,344$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.3 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.42per pick | 51cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…38a4backed No | 60c | 2,313$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc84…8b56backed No | 74c | 2,197$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…a087backed No | 73c | 2,194$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d354backed No | 60c | 2,151$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3a…1cbebacked No | 60c | 2,148$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…2c08backed No | 66c | 2,048$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…cec9backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +8.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +301.4%equal weight | 75+0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…1886backed No | 59c | 1,993$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb753…aa33backed No | 56c | 1,983$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1072…7333backed No | 59c | 1,978$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…4eb6backed Yes | 50c | 1,967$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…9fd0backed No | 62c | 1,959$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe1…b315backed No | 60c | 1,950$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a0…029cbacked No | 64c | 1,854$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…3487backed No | 66c | 1,853$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…6c22backed No | 74c | 1,814$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…5f77backed No | 63c | 1,812$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0a…f913backed No | 63c | 1,717$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…1dc9backed No | 77c | 1,673$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…98f5backed No | 77c | 1,665$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…339abacked No | 75c | 1,596$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…0b51backed No | 74c | 1,561$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc8…5d7fbacked No | 74c | 1,558$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2491…000cbacked No | 77c | 1,540$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa479…2815backed No | 75c | 1,539$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…8bb9backed No | 74c | 1,494$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3863…eaa6backed No | 61c | 1,348$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,307$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed No | 15c | 1,125$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 41c | 994.66$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.67 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes | 34c | 957.09$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.43 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa7…01bdbacked No | 58c | 865$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…34e6backed No | 62c | 810.59$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…bb53backed No | 38c | 781.58$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 52c | 772.93$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8395…0454backed No | 18c | 738.89$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda8…790ebacked Yes | 36c | 700$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed Yes | 49c | 664.2$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.14 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 40c | 640.37$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.03 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed Yes | 38c | 583.26$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.32 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed No | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 39c | 528.88$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.32 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…0ecdbacked No | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 42c | 524.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.34 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa659…1eaabacked No | 48c | 521.35$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 34c | 496.82$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.38 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked No | 61c | 459.91$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 37c | 445.64$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.64 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 51c | 343.4$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.3 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed No | 12c | 327.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf073…72fdbacked No | 56c | 327.18$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…bdafbacked No | 50c | 323.4$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb41…a826backed No | 57c | 286.6$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 39c | 268.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.36 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +11.1wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a64…6467backed Yes | 47c | 254.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.79 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…7547backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…9196backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked No | 73c | 246.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 76c | 240$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 47c | 240$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +13.9wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c9…21abbacked No | 21c | 220.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…d3b3backed No | 64c | 218.13$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked No | 61c | 203.47$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…4bd7backed Yes | 46c | 199.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…2d50backed No | 68c | 188.75$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…d072backed Yes | 75c | 182.4$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bf…84c7backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.