Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1824a5cfdb7cd38876e2127fda3ca829a0ab2074ad30167e586355cbb714df1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $688,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $643,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $688,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 19c | 56,245$10,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,581.25 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 16c | 30,731$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.54 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…4099backed Yes | 2c | 21,600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.22 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked No | 78c | 20,708$16,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,523.71 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 14c | 18,885$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.17 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 14c | 18,596$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.64 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 72c | 15,995$11,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,481.1 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 2c | 13,557$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.06 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 12,224$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.16 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 11c | 12,175$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.05 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88b…5d65backed Yes | 14c | 10,946$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…aa7ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 2c | 9,532$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.25 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab3…e2a2backed Yes | 12c | 8,527$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 66c | 5,999$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…5692backed Yes | 2c | 5,293$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 7c | 4,931$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.27 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 4c | 4,588$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes | 37c | 4,547$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.61 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…0986backed Yes | 11c | 4,493$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -85%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 10c | 4,424$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.64 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 4,235$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 1c | 4,208$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 13c | 3,875$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.84 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 23c | 3,635$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.12 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…698abacked Yes | 1c | 3,583$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,517$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.61 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1630…e3fdbacked Yes | 15c | 3,470$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.32per pick | 21cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5f5bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,780$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 8c | 2,666$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.86 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbf…8de3backed Yes | 12c | 2,532$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed Yes | 4c | 2,016$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,741$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked No | 74c | 1,500$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…9c74backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Yes | 43c | 1,499$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…1af2backed Yes | 16c | 1,491$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…4eb6backed Yes | 17c | 1,327$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…74dabacked No | 77c | 1,304$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Yes | 19c | 1,200$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 18c | 1,127$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…24fdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,027$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…bf85backed Yes | 1c | 1,019$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffa…1c3bbacked Yes | 2c | 967.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…bb52backed No | 76c | 850.92$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 4c | 799.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +519.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…776cbacked Yes | 11c | 735.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…32a0backed Yes | 13c | 711.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 16c | 655.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…cdc6backed Yes | 16c | 645$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa795…a42bbacked Yes | 19c | 600$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…1245backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 7c | 493.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yes | 18c | 450$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…7567backed Yes | 20c | 441.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…bd75backed Yes | 13c | 434.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 16cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…d5a3backed No | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…df7ebacked Yes | 10c | 408.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 9c | 400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed Yes | 14c | 357$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 4c | 349.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 7c | 332.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…edd6backed Yes | 14c | 323.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…bbcfbacked Yes | 13c | 320.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf4…bde0backed Yes | 16c | 314.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 9c | 305.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…e8eebacked Yes | 13c | 304.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d79…f2d0backed Yes | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed No | 74c | 274.82$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0061…548ebacked Yes | 20c | 246.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7a…474abacked Yes | 10c | 237.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a66…5b1bbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x990c…5ccfbacked Yes | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 19cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 9c | 185$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 152.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…a3ddbacked No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed Yes | 27c | 133.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876c…ed4cbacked No | 75c | 132.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…4fe5backed Yes | 38c | 130.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb34…a1cdbacked Yes | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…6034backed Yes | 9c | 122.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…b3c3backed Yes | 12c | 110.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…e285backed Yes | 19c | 105.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0abb…6ac7backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…ed3ebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…39cdbacked No | 71c | 99.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…f2ecbacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…3ab3backed Yes | 19c | 77.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…e5bdbacked Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493e…faedbacked Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b4…9420backed No | 74c | 54.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed No | 79c | 50.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 68c | 41.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…8724backed No | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b76…3911backed No | 80c | 35.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.