Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81138ce9663989da24e3fceab9d078321230547a2b32ac9acad47a2be23a8d0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,256,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,505,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,256,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77dc…7897backed Yes | 23c | 83,296$19,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,040 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…03ccbacked Yes | 30c | 53,543$15,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,835.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 77c | 30,649$23,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,947.27 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 16c | 26,500$4,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170.95 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 24c | 24,002$5,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,842.2 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked No | 77c | 22,573$17,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,167.27 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 5c | 19,516$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.38 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 18,014$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 2c | 16,824$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 5c | 14,617$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.91 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 73c | 12,502$9,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.88 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 79c | 12,150$9,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.55 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…8cc4backed Yes | 1c | 11,782$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…4612backed Yes | 3c | 10,443$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.95 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 73c | 9,602$7,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.93 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 75c | 7,072$5,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.38 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 3c | 6,770$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.31 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed No | 70c | 6,631$4,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.13 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…74dbbacked Yes | 33c | 6,284$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Yes | 7c | 6,045$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.33 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…49e9backed Yes | 1c | 5,450$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 14c | 5,417$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.41 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked Yes | 15c | 5,270$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.24 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked No | 70c | 5,100$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…46ebbacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 1c | 4,952$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed No | 70c | 4,600$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.59 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed No | 71c | 4,533$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.62 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…aa68backed No | 63c | 4,508$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 16c | 4,101$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.5 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…f647backed Yes | 1c | 4,053$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 78c | 3,946$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.15 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,922$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…40b9backed Yes | 12c | 3,295$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 7c | 3,027$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 25c | 2,894$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.53 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,827$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…fda5backed Yes | 31c | 2,734$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.41 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,726$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…a40cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,683$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…0d22backed Yes | 36c | 2,674$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Yes | 18c | 2,279$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…6c07backed Yes | 7c | 2,093$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…0986backed Yes | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -85%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…8406backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c3…61ebbacked No | 79c | 1,653$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…c575backed Yes | 22c | 1,611$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed No | 78c | 1,498$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.56 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,392$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0a…71b8backed Yes | 1c | 1,264$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8b…1614backed No | 78c | 1,263$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…a02abacked Yes | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d7…2d0abacked Yes | 18c | 1,215$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,118$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.77 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 76c | 1,061$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.61 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…b0d2backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 74c | 869$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.94 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked Yes | 13c | 848.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 26cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a95…bb94backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…104fbacked Yes | 37c | 800.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…912dbacked Yes | 11c | 721.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 4c | 680.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…9cabbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 26c | 500$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ee…9930backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…df41backed Yes | 4c | 457$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x609a…a4d7backed Yes | 19c | 399.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa7…01bdbacked No | 77c | 390$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…5fc6backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…2966backed Yes | 35c | 365.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25e2…cd7fbacked Yes | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked No | 78c | 307.65$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…2d50backed No | 77c | 306.76$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…9017backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +11.1wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce8…767bbacked Yes | 25c | 232.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4489…2452backed Yes | 36c | 230$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…c255backed No | 72c | 220$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 201$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…3269backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…b14ebacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc355…8a90backed No | 77c | 193.22$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…3335backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…072cbacked No | 67c | 180.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed4…6470backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…3126backed Yes | 6c | 170.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…ba7dbacked Yes | 6c | 167.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…243dbacked Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b0…8c07backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.