Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc39c29a2de50d999f60542849546b52227aef0ab1540901a01a023813f9cffc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $940,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $978,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $940,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 32c | 34,302$11,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,063.78 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 42c | 24,569$10,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,236.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 15c | 24,552$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,742.81 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 28c | 24,472$6,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,801.68 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 32c | 22,062$7,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,060.15 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 69c | 20,674$14,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,365.81 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…8d3ebacked No | 58c | 20,530$12,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,528.24 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b98…df12backed No | 58c | 20,090$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,390.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed No | 61c | 19,873$12,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,756.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 48c | 18,620$8,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,931.97 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x795c…2093backed No | 65c | 14,560$9,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…3592backed Yes | 37c | 13,692$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 27c | 12,071$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.06 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…1e1abacked Yes | 16c | 11,851$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.87 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 38c | 11,351$4,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.78 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…af16backed Yes | 49c | 10,183$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…37c1backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.81 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 49c | 9,655$4,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed No | 61c | 9,041$5,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.58 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 58c | 8,897$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752.57 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 65c | 8,189$5,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 42c | 6,525$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.13 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 50c | 5,833$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.86 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 21c | 5,622$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…c004backed Yes | 1c | 5,048$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 41c | 5,018$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.94 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…e2c0backed No | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…90abbacked No | 65c | 4,636$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 50c | 4,500$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,442$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x627a…cdc2backed No | 62c | 4,300$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa050…3e54backed Yes | 0c | 4,181$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 75c | 4,117$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.13 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe470…b6e2backed No | 66c | 3,837$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 33c | 3,782$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.26 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…c5f6backed Yes | 33c | 3,600$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…c0eebacked No | 59c | 3,567$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.57 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…4c22backed Yes | 12c | 3,506$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 35c | 3,345$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.4 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed Yes | 29c | 3,300$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.14 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…dd5ebacked No | 58c | 3,255$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 7c | 3,168$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.34 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…4eddbacked Yes | 29c | 3,100$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f9…55f0backed No | 65c | 3,009$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd506…b373backed No | 59c | 2,940$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 4c | 2,925$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,469$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…8896backed No | 67c | 2,332$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…3583backed No | 66c | 2,274$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed Yes | 31c | 2,200$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.6 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c90ebacked No | 54c | 2,104$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.73 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 4c | 2,043$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…ddfebacked Yes | 50c | 2,017$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…dba8backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,935$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.2 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 1c | 1,920$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,899$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.59 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 22c | 1,868$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.19 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 1c | 1,852$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…5eb2backed Yes | 44c | 1,739$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8394…b722backed Yes | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd3…68d5backed No | 64c | 1,578$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb24b…f263backed No | 65c | 1,535$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…29cbbacked No | 67c | 1,528$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 32c | 1,527$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.18 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 71c | 1,500$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821c…ffc7backed Yes | 32c | 1,500$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 54c | 1,460$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.08 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed No | 53c | 1,427$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.82 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes | 30c | 1,349$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 39c | 1,250$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,243$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes | 28c | 1,181$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.79 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…3501backed No | 71c | 1,129$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 64c | 1,000$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…0d22backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa628…1943backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…f499backed Yes | 54c | 950$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…cd11backed No | 48c | 883.22$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 42c | 850.99$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.46 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…2143backed No | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…799ebacked Yes | 38c | 812.18$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…0aaabacked No | 39c | 812.05$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cb…d3b1backed Yes | 52c | 770$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 67c | 738.64$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.05 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 37c | 724$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked No | 65c | 655$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…d9e3backed Yes | 53c | 640.62$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.53 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa7…01bdbacked No | 62c | 630$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…7e4fbacked No | 71c | 617.19$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…0efebacked No | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked No | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…2726backed Yes | 30c | 600$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 67c | 599.79$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.93 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93b…ac2ebacked No | 64c | 589.06$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4300 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.