Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x032e62000b187815a8b23ab8ba7f09a4e7bbc27d30edfccee6dcd23fdaafd266
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $900,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,219,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $900,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc54…d4dcbacked Yes | 4c | 99,998$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.93 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 8c | 54,058$4,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,251 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,223$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 7c | 15,108$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.64 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 1c | 12,881$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.22 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 12,404$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f9…4cdbbacked Yes | 7c | 11,600$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…8340backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318f…d375backed Yes | 9c | 9,267$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.52 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 7c | 8,764$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.36 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 8c | 7,538$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.18 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781f…6763backed Yes | 7c | 7,499$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…6a7cbacked Yes | 7c | 6,768$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.84 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…c004backed Yes | 7c | 6,642$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.75 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…37c1backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c33…158fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b0…4f37backed Yes | 5c | 4,940$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…da7ebacked Yes | 6c | 4,757$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…a948backed Yes | 7c | 4,526$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…1cb7backed Yes | 5c | 4,514$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 6c | 4,006$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.47 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 1c | 3,137$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 6c | 2,600$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.22 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +519.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Yes | 1c | 2,587$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Yes | 6c | 2,449$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…f464backed Yes | 8c | 2,444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 3c | 2,060$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…3407backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…0b44backed Yes | 3c | 1,895$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 5c | 1,887$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,836$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.81 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…e8bebacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…b85dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,422$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,400$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,256$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9423…b493backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…912dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,129$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…55bebacked Yes | 9c | 1,121$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddde…8c07backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…3585backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…9d46backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…1245backed Yes | 5c | 999.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…df43backed Yes | 4c | 959.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fb…e758backed Yes | 6c | 853.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…ecccbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…7d62backed Yes | 7c | 680$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…243dbacked Yes | 2c | 640$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…c093backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668f…0066backed Yes | 8c | 570$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 7c | 531.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…575abacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0892…48d8backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 4c | 486.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb472…9436backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…e800backed Yes | 5c | 360$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6efd…ccb0backed Yes | 6c | 350.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…1fbdbacked Yes | 7c | 302.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…52d1backed Yes | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…eef4backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf14e…86efbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91a6…0a02backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Yes | 8c | 238.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 9c | 208.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…b92abacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…f876backed Yes | 10c | 191.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…be51backed Yes | 7c | 167.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…a055backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…e937backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4300 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.