Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x548999fae1ae82c229b26e2f92d94ae57a9f4fec3a0153e4b58403a1ab35adf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 23c | 26,644$6,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,047.02 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…d14dbacked No | 75c | 24,865$18,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,216.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 16c | 18,100$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.08 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 24c | 15,304$3,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,678.49 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 17c | 14,947$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.62 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…c004backed Yes | 2c | 13,040$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,009$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 14c | 9,989$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.1 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 1c | 9,332$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 19c | 6,464$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.58 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 2c | 6,265$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 79c | 5,619$4,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.08 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 15c | 5,170$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.09 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 17c | 4,880$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.16 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 13c | 4,510$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.59 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…8030backed Yes | 8c | 2,452$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 77c | 2,222$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,604$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8394…b722backed Yes | 14c | 1,578$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…6a7cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,423$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.88 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…d940backed No | 73c | 1,259$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.85 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…b372backed Yes | 21c | 1,095$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked No | 75c | 1,007$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.67 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…8b16backed Yes | 11c | 913.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…28d9backed Yes | 2c | 752.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 27c | 741.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…6fc8backed Yes | 12c | 737$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e43…17b6backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…686dbacked No | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 75c | 668.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.47 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…df43backed Yes | 12c | 656.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…0b73backed No | 79c | 519.65$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8617…e460backed Yes | 13c | 392.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…0fa7backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…bb53backed No | 76c | 349.5$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 19c | 349.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…243dbacked Yes | 4c | 320$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…d034backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f56…ebe2backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…3a36backed Yes | 12c | 234$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…2726backed Yes | 15c | 218.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddde…8c07backed Yes | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 24c | 170.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…ce22backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 7.2%6 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…ecccbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…9e65backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f95…7889backed No | 72c | 140.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e620backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c90ebacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…d636backed Yes | 25c | 126.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…9196backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…23a8backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…5dc9backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…025dbacked Yes | 13c | 124.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0077…f60fbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Yes | 21c | 106.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6efd…ccb0backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…6eebbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2e…49f5backed Yes | 17c | 102.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…5b1ebacked No | 79c | 100.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad36…2e8bbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…d3bdbacked Yes | 15c | 80.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x81af…cb30backed Yes | 17c | 78.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881c…8a60backed Yes | 17c | 72.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…1b37backed Yes | 17c | 72.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b87…e781backed Yes | 17c | 71.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bf…ba69backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a50…ea06backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…f40abacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…fb88backed Yes | 16c | 67.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…9680backed Yes | 17c | 66.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0309…8c55backed Yes | 17c | 66.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +112%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x627b…f289backed Yes | 17c | 66.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd213…4293backed Yes | 17c | 65.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d19…3250backed Yes | 17c | 65.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…5ac7backed Yes | 17c | 65.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…4d3cbacked No | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b7…dc23backed Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +210.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e1…f631backed Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…8c9cbacked Yes | 17c | 63.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…46e3backed Yes | 17c | 63.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6175…0e0bbacked Yes | 17c | 63.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…f45dbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…ea10backed Yes | 16c | 63.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa721…b772backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4689…7ba4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 60.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…077abacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…302bbacked Yes | 17c | 59.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…ffffbacked No | 78c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…767ebacked Yes | 20c | 56.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4300 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.