Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2d4c42064801d802684067e7cd17b106629af12b2a836b6b1902fd164ccf13f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $615,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $625,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 2c | 55,000$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.11 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 15c | 41,738$6,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,342.61 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 18c | 33,305$6,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,092.89 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 12c | 26,406$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.98 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 16c | 25,677$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.65 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 21c | 20,305$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,357.93 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 10c | 7,266$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.59 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 6,699$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.62 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde75…8596backed Yes | 3c | 6,573$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed No | 63c | 6,530$4,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.59 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes | 9c | 6,471$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b98…df12backed Yes | 40c | 6,396$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 43c | 6,251$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.3 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…ddcabacked Yes | 43c | 5,604$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 19c | 5,502$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.77 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed Yes | 14c | 5,264$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 16c | 5,180$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.92 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0921…263ebacked Yes | 10c | 4,876$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.33 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 80c | 4,846$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.57 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 5c | 4,820$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.55 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295d…accebacked Yes | 12c | 4,463$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.33 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 9c | 4,404$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.29 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 21c | 3,405$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.79 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed No | 57c | 3,303$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.46 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…438abacked Yes | 23c | 3,003$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked No | 76c | 2,733$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.29 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 9c | 2,661$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.14 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 34c | 2,268$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.87 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 5c | 1,932$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 9c | 1,915$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 11c | 1,809$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,663$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.23 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…e269backed Yes | 15c | 1,642$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…a0e1backed Yes | 19c | 1,600$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…cce8backed Yes | 2c | 1,535$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…91b9backed Yes | 32c | 1,463$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked No | 75c | 1,328$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1c…5452backed Yes | 8c | 1,252$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…5cc5backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e6…03e2backed Yes | 23c | 1,145$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.78 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…be8cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 72c | 926$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.52 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2948…788abacked Yes | 3c | 908$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…6a7cbacked Yes | 6c | 906.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8e…0f12backed Yes | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…7182backed Yes | 25c | 790.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…14febacked Yes | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…4badbacked No | 79c | 700$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…a476backed Yes | 2c | 652.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…df43backed Yes | 7c | 630.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…b36abacked Yes | 5c | 626.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -86%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +13.9wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ac…7935backed Yes | 9c | 588.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 20c | 527.62$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…c9e3backed Yes | 14c | 500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f50…f7cdbacked Yes | 29c | 489.66$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e0…bd10backed Yes | 7c | 487.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…2e62backed Yes | 26c | 456.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…2fd9backed Yes | 7c | 430$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…f3cebacked Yes | 8c | 407.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…3a36backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 36c | 399.33$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…224fbacked Yes | 27c | 366.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…b562backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed Yes | 12c | 328.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 23c | 325.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +11.1wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3a26backed No | 69c | 300$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Yes | 34c | 293.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc184…4cc0backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…20eebacked Yes | 39c | 248.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…f6f3backed Yes | 9c | 224.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…b3c3backed Yes | 8c | 216.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…0405backed Yes | 33c | 210.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 17c | 209.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed No | 70c | 190$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…96c2backed Yes | 8c | 186.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…27ffbacked No | 75c | 176.24$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3002…2a51backed No | 79c | 166.81$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…96d2backed No | 79c | 161.74$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…4532backed Yes | 12c | 156.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafe…67b2backed Yes | 33c | 149.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…d356backed Yes | 30c | 135.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…7d62backed Yes | 9c | 133.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 11c | 126.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes | 12c | 114.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 25c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132c…5d2fbacked Yes | 21c | 104.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…2e2cbacked No | 78c | 88.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…23a8backed Yes | 18c | 83.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…feefbacked No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce7…f553backed Yes | 40c | 56.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1674…c7b1backed No | 79c | 56.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…6ff5backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4300 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.