NFL · resolved market
Will the Eagles and Commanders combine for 48 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4d2a426a8b7000209db3eefa829b6c9c1e7c4b78218153f204fd07a37a35643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Under | 50c | 3,408$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.83 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 50c | 1,758$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 51c | 400$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.57 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Over | 49c | 300.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.34 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…2983backed Over | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Over | 45c | 206.29$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.46 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…60d9backed Over | 48c | 129$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…c4d0backed Under | 54c | 92.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…f095backed Under | 52c | 82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Under | 52c | 80.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…6818backed Over | 48c | 71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Over | 48c | 60.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ca…3a8cbacked Over | 48c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…1d51backed Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +113%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7d…71dfbacked Over | 48c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…becfbacked Under | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +163.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd27f…b6bbbacked Over | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…bc00backed Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…f19abacked Under | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…1b9ebacked Under | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…e87fbacked Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…3a0dbacked Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…7ad7backed Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a7…acdbbacked Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580c…5f1ebacked Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…dc1dbacked Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f49…b2b2backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…9521backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…7d8abacked Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa691…dda6backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…31e3backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1e…2b08backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…bc1ebacked Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…c655backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd9…6e01backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6c…d9f8backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc424…8ff0backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a0…03b9backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3430…8852backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…3431backed Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…c0f4backed Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…8445backed Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97bb…85aabacked Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…62c3backed Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cd…82a5backed Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…b1eebacked Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…a966backed Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…0537backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…4023backed Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1704backed Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb5…75d2backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665f…16cfbacked Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6095…9f0fbacked Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83d…3218backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…0ed2backed Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…e34fbacked Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…1a40backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b41…6629backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…b62dbacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…b6d6backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…bc72backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…daf3backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…b3b4backed Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…6eb6backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…33b2backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d9…533fbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d72…18c0backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…b07cbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…060fbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e4…4015backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…9010backed Under | 55c | 18.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Eagles and Commanders combine for 48 or more points?this page
- Will the Eagles beat the Commanders by 7 or more points?Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.