TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Eagles beat the Commanders by 7 or more points?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eaglesof Eagles, Commanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,508 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Commanders54c21,500$11,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,607.289949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Eagles46c8,361$3,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,520.8944246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Eagles46c3,751$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.327041.4%29 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Commanders53c3,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6003644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Eagles48c2,982$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.7835848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Eagles50c1,000$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.833047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4451…c6afbacked Commanders50c927.2$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.64032.5%13 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Commanders55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c6…0c95backed Eagles47c270.79$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.52728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-42.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Commanders21c244.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.915721.1%12 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Commanders51c140$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.452828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581d…24c3backed Commanders53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537149.3%35 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee9…1808backed Commanders53c88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x144f…12c3backed Eagles49c84.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd13…a813backed Commanders53c69.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.819140.7%37 W · 54 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Eagles47c66.72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.12050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f0…82b6backed Commanders53c58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f5d…2a88backed Eagles47c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdb1…4253backed Commanders53c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df7…94d6backed Eagles49c46.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23b4…7659backed Eagles47c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18f6…e87fbacked Commanders52c43.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.31728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb60e…cfcebacked Commanders53c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb80f…be51backed Eagles47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Eagles49c42.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.528248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0173…fc0fbacked Eagles47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb130…5217backed Eagles47c41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a31…e84ebacked Eagles47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+337.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa091…9ce4backed Commanders54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f1…1984backed Eagles46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac23…bc00backed Commanders53c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3e…0601backed Eagles47c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Commanders53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a83…be80backed Eagles47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8d…5752backed Eagles47c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd31f…63b9backed Commanders53c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Eagles49c32.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.655354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+61.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa16c…6e91backed Commanders54c31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f12…2fcbbacked Commanders53c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…5d5fbacked Commanders50c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18cc…93edbacked Eagles47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a69…4bccbacked Eagles47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2801…8accbacked Eagles50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d83…9e09backed Eagles47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+337.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Commanders52c30.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.952227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4043…b1eebacked Eagles50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a4…492cbacked Commanders50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9921…be62backed Eagles46c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae62…9fd0backed Commanders54c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89d8…7d2dbacked Eagles47c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb605…22f5backed Commanders53c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2045…e12cbacked Eagles47c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4bb…db98backed Eagles46c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb46f…b5debacked Commanders53c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c4…2f03backed Eagles50c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7eb…ae8dbacked Commanders53c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a4…34bfbacked Eagles47c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x096d…78dabacked Eagles47c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc7…3388backed Commanders50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2582…e30ebacked Commanders53c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…675fbacked Eagles50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33ba…b8ddbacked Eagles47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb1…c40dbacked Eagles47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x940e…7181backed Commanders53c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3303…9217backed Commanders53c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc25…b95dbacked Eagles47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56e…cc7bbacked Commanders53c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…0c98backed Commanders50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb319…c5bbbacked Eagles48c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…678abacked Eagles47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe142…a868backed Eagles46c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3363…9f51backed Eagles47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55f…914abacked Commanders54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6904…9c98backed Commanders53c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x887a…df03backed Eagles47c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x952c…d358backed Eagles46c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…beaebacked Commanders53c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x978a…6da5backed Eagles47c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6769…cbefbacked Eagles47c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd488…5c6cbacked Commanders53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbabe…7028backed Eagles47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7e…5524backed Eagles47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe638…c8a9backed Commanders54c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8805…3b44backed Commanders50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b20…6ccebacked Eagles50c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92a0…4831backed Commanders51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.631050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x105c…0aa3backed Commanders53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdd…52f5backed Commanders53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x486e…857abacked Commanders53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f9…37d8backed Commanders53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3b…e281backed Commanders52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8f…0ae6backed Commanders53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39cd…3dc4backed Commanders53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5893…c534backed Commanders53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2e…b552backed Commanders53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf3…f19abacked Commanders53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x474f…2bb4backed Commanders53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7838…cea9backed Commanders53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc627…ce40backed Commanders53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x731c…d171backed Commanders53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.