NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13fa9f84ed630a86050b97e50e1cfb4aa5a4bb0e9a942264213274467c8048a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $537,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $603,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 534 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Rockets | 40c | 43,588$17,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,368.91 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Cavaliers | 25c | 26,579$6,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,611.33 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e954backed Cavaliers | 62c | 24,099$14,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Cavaliers | 13c | 24,095$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.85 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 27c | 22,546$6,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,052.65 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Rockets | 69c | 19,633$13,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,010.21 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Rockets | 65c | 16,651$10,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,780.84 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 61c | 13,499$8,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,216.6 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Rockets | 66c | 11,830$7,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.25 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 10,932$5,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,914.33 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Cavaliers | 1c | 10,900$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…44fdbacked Cavaliers | 0c | 10,602$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…c7e6backed Rockets | 63c | 5,744$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets | 39c | 5,294$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.95 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Cavaliers | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Cavaliers | 25c | 5,000$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Cavaliers | 25c | 4,002$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Cavaliers | 56c | 3,423$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.53 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 35c | 3,325$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.28 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Cavaliers | 5c | 3,308$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Rockets | 70c | 3,202$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.41 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 2,450$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cavaliers | 18c | 2,426$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Cavaliers | 22c | 2,220$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.36 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Rockets | 80c | 2,207$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.47 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…4d73backed Cavaliers | 2c | 2,163$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Cavaliers | 60c | 2,147$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.56 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Cavaliers | 14c | 2,111$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.73 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 2,097$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 40c | 2,030$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.7 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 23c | 2,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.86 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cavaliers | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Rockets | 63c | 1,880$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.82 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c5…ccbbbacked Cavaliers | 8c | 1,844$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Rockets | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.62 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…3af3backed Cavaliers | 63c | 1,387$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489a…bcdebacked Cavaliers | 59c | 1,330$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe00…20c6backed Rockets | 42c | 1,330$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Cavaliers | 61c | 1,301$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.45 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Rockets | 78c | 1,287$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.61 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Rockets | 76c | 1,254$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.79 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockets | 38c | 1,214$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.94 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cavaliers | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Cavaliers | 1c | 1,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Cavaliers | 13c | 1,200$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Rockets | 39c | 1,138$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.47 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…63febacked Cavaliers | 62c | 1,117$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…d7cdbacked Rockets | 39c | 1,110$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 1,075$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.84 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c4…bbcdbacked Rockets | 77c | 1,042$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…d382backed Rockets | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…755dbacked Rockets | 77c | 917.11$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Cavaliers | 15c | 894.97$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Cavaliers | 62c | 882.53$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.17 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Rockets | 38c | 856.59$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.09 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 837.82$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.56 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cavaliers | 58c | 835.18$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.46 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Cavaliers | 62c | 823.14$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.32 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockets | 38c | 814.67$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.35 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cavaliers | 2c | 802.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rockets | 38c | 782$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.84 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 39c | 778.82$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.46 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…e364backed Cavaliers | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 710$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.81 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Cavaliers | 15c | 709.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Rockets | 76c | 662.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.17 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Cavaliers | 61c | 655.93$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Cavaliers | 58c | 640.89$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.72 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 602.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockets | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Rockets | 75c | 591.57$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1738…5456backed Cavaliers | 59c | 582.18$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…0dc6backed Rockets | 41c | 582.18$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Cavaliers | 26c | 580.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Rockets | 73c | 569.04$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.64 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Cavaliers | 63c | 564.79$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…e497backed Rockets | 76c | 556.24$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked Rockets | 79c | 550$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7febbacked Rockets | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Cavaliers | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Rockets | 40c | 500$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.03 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Cavaliers | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…78e3backed Cavaliers | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Cavaliers | 54c | 500$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Cavaliers | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Cavaliers | 62c | 499.94$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.96 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Rockets | 38c | 488.53$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.95 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Rockets | 38c | 463.53$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.39 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…9cc7backed Cavaliers | 11c | 439.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Cavaliers | 33c | 426.01$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.56 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Cavaliers | 60c | 399.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 39c | 384.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.83 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Rockets | 38c | 363.73$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.73 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…929ebacked Cavaliers | 40c | 360.32$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Rockets | 37c | 360.23$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.95 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…cecfbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 345.07$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rockets | 39c | 339.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.59 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 60c | 330.11$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…50c2backed Rockets | 76c | 310$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.