TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Nuggets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Nets, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$462,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$453,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $462,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x480d…f219backed Nets11c39,998$4,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,352.641,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Nets8c20,960$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.784949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Nets1c13,431$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.63616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets10c12,500$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19546131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa55f…c3d6backed Nets11c9,643$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.45935.6%21 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets2c8,200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c5…a686backed Nets10c7,496$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets12c7,199$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.71,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…2a10backed Nets18c7,183$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Nets8c7,116$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.1634425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1026…0b0ebacked Nets10c6,900$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Nets11c6,724$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.0416838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets11c6,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9940627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Nets12c5,791$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.0336514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Nets1c5,720$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.815741.4%65 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets14c4,577$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.93,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets12c3,783$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.191,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Nets11c3,545$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3905616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c8b…fc3dbacked Nets10c3,041$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f51…2019backed Nets14c2,652$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.6517853.9%96 W · 82 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Nets11c2,507$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7626235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Nets10c2,374$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.1825651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Nets5c2,300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.168642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f4…ebaebacked Nets13c2,130$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf884…7a73backed Nets10c2,009$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.960%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Nets11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Nets14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…6e8ebacked Nets11c1,860$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.61233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Nets2c1,818$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7142434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Nets12c1,642$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Nets17c1,632$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.530954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc935…4c02backed Nets10c1,600$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.991030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Nets10c1,570$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9972341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Nets16c1,549$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.257436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e6…5b30backed Nets10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-81.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Nets12c1,474$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9714129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a0d…68edbacked Nets10c1,368$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.81040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad3f…857ebacked Nuggets80c1,327$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.493333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Nuggets80c1,268$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.64456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Nets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Nets12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadf9…294abacked Nets11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Nets10c999.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Nets12c997.4$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.691936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+298.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets3c974$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.231,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Nets10c954.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006640.9%27 W · 39 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Nets13c953.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae0…3a56backed Nets12c941.67$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Nets11c898.64$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8511428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Nets12c846.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Nets12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7524…2149backed Nets10c740.13$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.362920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf84…2494backed Nets11c735.36$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.891361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Nuggets78c708.83$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1625939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa728…5a45backed Nets16c682.7$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.23728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5bf…7851backed Nets15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3418…458abacked Nets11c655.74$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.131136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Nets17c635.16$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11013759.1%81 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Nets11c600.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4905…42f3backed Nets12c600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721520%3 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b0…9da7backed Nets11c576.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.425257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea5c…5b0fbacked Nets18c561.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf9…1289backed Nets23c521.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204761.7%29 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets79c505.52$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.161,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nets11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5529148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Nets9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Nets10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dba…c816backed Nets3c489.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Nets11c454.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9818628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf64…497abacked Nets11c443.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Nets13c405.46$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4116140.4%65 W · 96 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…9539backed Nets16c400.02$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Nets17c400$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2115341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Nets12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4819650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…c5b2backed Nets13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524030%12 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Nets10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Nets20c394$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.826547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32c6…35e8backed Nets12c377.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Nets15c365.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7838143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Nets19c345.43$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0725957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde88…46d0backed Nets13c341.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Nets13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010131.7%32 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nets18c307.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0338027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a0c…07cebacked Nets11c306.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.691136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Nuggets80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6035165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdacd…cfb2backed Nets10c297.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306224.2%15 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets14c295.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.171,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Nets12c291.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511130.6%34 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Nets17c242.94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.322430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ab…6964backed Nets22c238.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Nets11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0878…1374backed Nets11c200.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.01825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x258d…cd31backed Nets17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343525.7%9 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Nets13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2614039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Nets15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3063445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Nets12c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2393041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4469…cefebacked Nets10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204042.5%17 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Nets10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.