NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Blue Jackets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8b59faa5ca33419f4282dad74596f32d40220428e047146b054e0df7e04ab82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Kings, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blue Jackets | 39c | 7,075$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.82 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Blue Jackets | 59c | 4,580$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.82 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings | 61c | 3,087$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.2 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 25c | 2,882$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.47 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.6 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Kings | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 61c | 908.27$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.78 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 61c | 641.64$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.57 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 62c | 551.45$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.9 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kings | 62c | 504.99$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.09 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 44c | 430.63$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Blue Jackets | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings | 61c | 369$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.09 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings | 61c | 300$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.17 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 245.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 156.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Kings | 51c | 140$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…cecfbacked Blue Jackets | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Kings | 61c | 123$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blue Jackets | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0d…1598backed Blue Jackets | 44c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3305…f25fbacked Kings | 62c | 105.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…d9e2backed Kings | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…7a92backed Blue Jackets | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Blue Jackets | 37c | 99.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Blue Jackets | 39c | 99.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…290fbacked Blue Jackets | 39c | 84.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 61c | 84.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…7eb3backed Kings | 63c | 83.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Kings | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Blue Jackets | 44c | 77.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Blue Jackets | 44c | 71.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 61c | 71.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…f539backed Blue Jackets | 39c | 71.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kings | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…c38abacked Kings | 64c | 69.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Blue Jackets | 40c | 55.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Kings | 63c | 47.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…5d81backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 33.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Kings | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Kings | 62c | 28.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Kings | 61c | 27.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jackets | 65c | 19.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.