Tennis · resolved market
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04d5e75c920683705a89a85a62a01cf842fbbaf5e0c78e302fc1371aa052afa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 451 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 26c | 44,310$11,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,565.74 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Yes | 70c | 21,945$15,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,680.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 11,028$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.36 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Yes | 44c | 10,800$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,098 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Yes | 79c | 10,045$7,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.05 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 48c | 9,003$4,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,362.73 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 57c | 8,547$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.07 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Yes | 59c | 7,985$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 79c | 6,629$5,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.98 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 49c | 5,640$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.75 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…1e18backed Yes | 49c | 3,434$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 60c | 3,235$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.66 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed No | 27c | 2,500$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 38c | 2,490$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.22 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 32c | 2,378$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.87 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…8936backed Yes | 43c | 2,366$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed No | 59c | 2,362$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 63c | 2,295$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 44c | 2,195$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 66c | 2,160$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 74c | 2,138$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…75aabacked No | 56c | 2,107$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…2096backed Yes | 80c | 2,003$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 72c | 1,907$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.7 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 45c | 1,890$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.25 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…1599backed Yes | 66c | 1,821$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 53c | 1,743$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.76 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 57c | 1,698$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 55c | 1,663$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 57c | 1,647$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 16c | 1,561$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.97 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…3ef8backed No | 53c | 1,558$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed Yes | 72c | 1,424$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.8 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Yes | 72c | 1,320$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14bb…882bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,259$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Yes | 66c | 1,213$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Yes | 73c | 1,176$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…1793backed Yes | 43c | 1,123$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 56c | 1,090$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.39 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 59c | 1,014$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…b4f9backed Yes | 44c | 1,005$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.32 | 106 | 65.1%69 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…6efbbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked No | 57c | 999.99$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.99 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe561…97cfbacked Yes | 46c | 973.45$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 58c | 944.71$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.78 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 63c | 913.87$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.8 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 44c | 889.37$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.05 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 59c | 741.67$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 34c | 723.11$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.35 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…ab9dbacked Yes | 46c | 710.54$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 43c | 707.93$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Yes | 42c | 699.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…27c4backed Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0992…2a08backed No | 29c | 690$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 44c | 682.28$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.22 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 74c | 645.98$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.66 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 70c | 642.23$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…2983backed Yes | 73c | 630.14$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 42c | 622.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.66 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes | 65c | 576.92$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa477…c9c2backed No | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06b…4a95backed No | 28c | 500.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…dc41backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked No | 28c | 479$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…6da0backed Yes | 43c | 469.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ed…27bcbacked Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed Yes | 72c | 454.46$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 54c | 452.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.5 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Yes | 50c | 449.76$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.76 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 55c | 443.48$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.23 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 51c | 431.49$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.49 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…f427backed Yes | 47c | 425.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…ee6fbacked Yes | 47c | 413.77$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…65d2backed Yes | 49c | 408.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.37 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Yes | 72c | 402.78$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95d…b2a1backed Yes | 73c | 401.37$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked No | 56c | 399.96$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 73c | 387.67$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…c000backed Yes | 45c | 379.48$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Yes | 64c | 377.96$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.11 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…4c45backed Yes | 46c | 376.09$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…50d6backed No | 56c | 373.46$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…5141backed No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 56c | 355.91$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 42c | 355$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.35 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 66c | 354.09$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 61c | 349.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Yes | 72c | 347.93$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…e226backed No | 32c | 333.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…da86backed Yes | 68c | 316.55$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 45c | 310$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Yes | 46c | 308.46$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…7e7bbacked No | 59c | 305.08$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…7ba8backed No | 10c | 299.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2998…b425backed No | 56c | 288.22$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb582…c3b6backed No | 36c | 282.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 35c | 280.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?this page
- Will Alex De Minaur win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Jakub Menšík win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Joao Fonseca win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Nick Kyrgios win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the Australian Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.