TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Kings, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Kings25c72,726$18,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,319.0234532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Kings0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Knicks73c23,498$17,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,232.1611164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks72c18,683$13,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,142.23,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Knicks66c10,710$7,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,645.4847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…2577backed Knicks62c9,200$5,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,496475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+159.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Knicks68c6,720$4,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.6965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings38c5,100$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.981,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…70a7backed Kings38c4,984$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3698…1580backed Kings38c4,217$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.28714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc8…3900backed Kings37c2,586$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9541844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Knicks68c2,163$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.1677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Knicks66c2,037$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee2…46e1backed Kings23c1,983$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.462528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Kings9c1,960$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1768229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Knicks65c1,850$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.537954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Kings37c1,604$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.0936843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Knicks63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.3116261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings25c1,530$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.091,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdcd…b751backed Knicks73c1,233$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.885100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1982…f55ebacked Kings33c1,211$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.5840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e4d…07cbbacked Knicks67c1,211$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.584100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Knicks80c1,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24019152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3b72backed Knicks67c1,200$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…8210backed Kings33c1,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.9440%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Kings33c1,170$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.6946928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Kings38c1,168$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4446622.7%15 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x17c9…ee76backed Knicks62c1,129$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7563…7654backed Knicks65c1,124$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.41850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Knicks67c1,112$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.8685347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings36c1,076$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.941,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Kings29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfffd…1988backed Kings33c982.14$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c1…5369backed Knicks67c982.14$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Knicks62c900$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3427248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Knicks64c870$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.262351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Knicks69c793.9$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.650245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4469…cefebacked Kings8c737.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594042.5%17 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks64c702.05$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.451,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Knicks66c699.91$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9750453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Knicks73c689.04$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.046947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Knicks76c653.34$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1911249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Kings35c595.18$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2647948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Knicks67c594$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0257760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kings2c586.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.725502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Knicks62c517.26$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings15c505.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7567911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings35c505$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Knicks63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18535942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Knicks65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Kings34c441.95$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2270640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Kings24c421.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Knicks70c401.8$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.826934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Knicks62c373.79$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.797150.7%36 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Knicks68c345$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.935165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Knicks66c334.85$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.857636.8%28 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Knicks61c332.64$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7317047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Kings29c328.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.29852%51 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7737…e497backed Knicks75c305.14$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.191464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfab7…953abacked Kings36c300.78$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.284632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Kings38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kings39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d1…72b5backed Knicks68c249.26$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.763050%15 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Kings39c223.06$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9910730.8%33 W · 74 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings23c210.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.875,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6468642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Knicks63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Kings34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6825833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09a9…dd6abacked Kings26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523933.3%13 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01f9…699dbacked Kings17c185.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.94226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Kings40c175.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7056352%293 W · 270 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd078…6251backed Kings35c167.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.61926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings35c164.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Knicks62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2930354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Kings13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205221.2%11 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-51.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88d0…c51fbacked Kings19c150.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8047…54f4backed Kings29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.56743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae5…3113backed Knicks68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0623359.7%139 W · 94 L+0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Kings35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Kings38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d99…cf63backed Kings39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe295…f556backed Kings38c127.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.27520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks59c119.74$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.091,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aca…95f7backed Kings39c116.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe837…7b55backed Kings38c113.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4313448.5%65 W · 69 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Kings36c109$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2412663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4296…4cb1backed Kings39c107.95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc7b…447dbacked Kings33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd220…0c5cbacked Knicks63c105$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+80.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb43…adc0backed Kings38c105$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Kings34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511130.6%34 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b6a…81d6backed Kings38c102$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.761154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc647…efa0backed Knicks63c102$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.741346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Knicks72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286451.6%33 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kings16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Kings25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fec…728ebacked Knicks65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Knicks67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3338845.9%178 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.