TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Jamie Dimon be a member of the Trump administration?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,081 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd67a…eb69backed Yes4c2,424$95 inLost-$95.48520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48c1…d2cdbacked Yes1c1,655$19 inLost-$19.03633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes4c1,641$62 inLost-$62.4132029.1%93 W · 227 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…a2b2backed Yes7c800.83$56 inLost-$56.063743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes3c786.66$21 inLost-$21.4318914.3%27 W · 162 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes2c763.54$15 inLost-$15.2716943.2%73 W · 96 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe64…5cc6backed Yes2c652.17$15 inLost-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes3c600$19 inLost-$18.62847.7%22 W · 262 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes5c520.98$28 inLost-$28.435519.7%70 W · 285 L-16.3wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes3c459.63$12 inLost-$11.662154.2%9 W · 206 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1013…45cfbacked Yes6c433.45$26 inLost-$26.012035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes7c396.45$27 inLost-$26.5199629.5%294 W · 702 L-73.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4f7…3b24backed Yes8c375$30 inLost-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f8d…1df6backed Yes5c241.89$11 inLost-$11.41816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f4…0312backed Yes9c200$17 inLost-$171118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes5c200$10 inLost-$10828.5%7 W · 75 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa7…c9f4backed Yes7c135$10 inLost-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa9…d41fbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost-$101225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x527c…e862backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$101040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.