MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38533363f4bfe48d9ff2513a9d4adf3316c79eb4e6b8f39be87885bd242dd178
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,495,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,557,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,495,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 821 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d5…88c7backed Braves | 40c | 772,244$311,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460,855.17 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 59c | 107,788$63,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,525.96 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Reds | 58c | 94,925$55,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,105.46 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Reds | 61c | 91,461$55,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,611.43 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Reds | 58c | 85,750$49,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,735 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Reds | 61c | 65,914$40,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,177.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Reds | 60c | 55,646$33,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,387.55 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Reds | 61c | 47,093$28,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,698.47 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Reds | 61c | 40,000$24,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,400 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Braves | 39c | 38,554$14,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,691.73 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 59c | 31,842$18,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,786.99 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Reds | 60c | 30,936$18,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,613.4 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 58c | 25,967$15,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,075.76 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Reds | 40c | 25,692$10,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,302.66 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Reds | 64c | 21,717$13,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,809.42 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Braves | 39c | 20,247$7,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,251.26 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Reds | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,200 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 56c | 19,939$11,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,101.83 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Reds | 62c | 19,318$11,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,977.02 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 62c | 16,110$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Reds | 61c | 16,000$9,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,709.96 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Braves | 42c | 15,846$6,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,240.6 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Reds | 61c | 15,800$9,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,637.85 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Reds | 61c | 12,307$7,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,481.07 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Reds | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Reds | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Braves | 43c | 9,999$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,708.52 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 60c | 9,679$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.58 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 61c | 9,656$5,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,897.03 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Reds | 46c | 9,190$4,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.44 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Braves | 34c | 8,833$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,832.52 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Reds | 62c | 7,940$4,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.8 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Braves | 39c | 6,750$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,085.49 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Reds | 61c | 6,087$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.94 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Reds | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Braves | 37c | 5,804$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.53 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…db66backed Reds | 72c | 5,488$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Reds | 2c | 5,270$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Reds | 52c | 5,006$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.65 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Reds | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Reds | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Reds | 59c | 4,703$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.81 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Reds | 30c | 4,278$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.5 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Reds | 60c | 4,213$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.52 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Reds | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Reds | 62c | 4,000$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Braves | 39c | 3,976$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.61 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Reds | 62c | 3,831$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.75 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Braves | 36c | 3,492$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.81 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Reds | 58c | 3,364$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.13 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Reds | 60c | 3,317$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Reds | 58c | 3,300$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.95 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d09…2445backed Reds | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 48c | 3,246$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Reds | 57c | 3,151$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.98 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Braves | 40c | 3,140$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.2 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Braves | 39c | 3,050$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.87 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…506cbacked Reds | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Reds | 61c | 2,942$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.59 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Reds | 2c | 2,933$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Reds | 60c | 2,833$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 63c | 2,800$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.14 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Reds | 60c | 2,689$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.4 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Reds | 61c | 2,200$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Reds | 61c | 2,150$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.5 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Reds | 42c | 2,136$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.94 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Reds | 61c | 2,108$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.05 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Reds | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Braves | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Reds | 58c | 2,000$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Reds | 64c | 1,993$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.41 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 34c | 1,854$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.25 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Reds | 59c | 1,822$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.23 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Reds | 59c | 1,810$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.75 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…cd1cbacked Braves | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Reds | 61c | 1,774$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Reds | 60c | 1,758$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.55 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Reds | 62c | 1,668$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Reds | 2c | 1,636$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…2d70backed Reds | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…fe47backed Reds | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Reds | 68c | 1,589$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.04 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Reds | 61c | 1,563$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.78 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reds | 60c | 1,509$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.07 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…a0c0backed Reds | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Reds | 59c | 1,462$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.33 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Braves | 40c | 1,443$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.96 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 58c | 1,407$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Braves | 41c | 1,400$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.86 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…dd29backed Braves | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Braves | 59c | 1,389$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Braves | 51c | 1,388$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.93 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…795dbacked Reds | 1c | 1,359$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Braves | 38c | 1,325$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.5 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 60c | 1,314$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Reds | 59c | 1,300$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 6c | 1,252$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2a…3d34backed Braves | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 56c | 1,184$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Reds | 60c | 1,175$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.