NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c8c2166d258a619e6e3d6482c4671a372b475aead4fd573a7732edd6be3baed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hornets, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Hawks | 66c | 48,310$31,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,322.35 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…9b3ebacked Hornets | 35c | 28,528$10,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,014.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hornets | 31c | 10,463$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.15 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Hornets | 35c | 6,000$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Hornets | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…cc27backed Hornets | 8c | 3,700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Hornets | 24c | 3,042$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.05 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…b7edbacked Hornets | 35c | 1,700$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks | 65c | 1,591$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.03 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Hawks | 66c | 1,521$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.07 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Hornets | 35c | 859.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Hornets | 25c | 520.85$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.31 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb9…840bbacked Hornets | 37c | 487.16$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Hawks | 71c | 400.55$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hawks | 63c | 369.44$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.69 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe0…ff4abacked Hawks | 68c | 367.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Hornets | 27c | 325.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Hawks | 74c | 272.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Hornets | 21c | 267.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Hawks | 76c | 263.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa87…721abacked Hornets | 35c | 195$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…dfa1backed Hornets | 29c | 185$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Hornets | 32c | 149.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…2032backed Hornets | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…da1ebacked Hornets | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked Hawks | 70c | 138.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…eef9backed Hawks | 65c | 105$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Hornets | 30c | 103.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Hawks | 70c | 102.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Hornets | 23c | 101.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Hawks | 66c | 92.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba2…f2aabacked Hawks | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Hawks | 66c | 79.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…36babacked Hornets | 32c | 78.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Hornets | 33c | 74.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Hawks | 67c | 74.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc136…0c3bbacked Hornets | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…dd8ebacked Hornets | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…417cbacked Hornets | 33c | 61.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…4fa3backed Hawks | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Hawks | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b92…35f8backed Hornets | 36c | 53.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Hornets | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…b755backed Hawks | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…7e50backed Hornets | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +703.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hawks | 64c | 49.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Hawks | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Hornets | 33c | 41.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Hornets | 27c | 41.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hornets | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b96…f366backed Hornets | 35c | 36.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…8a38backed Hawks | 67c | 35.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…93c4backed Hornets | 35c | 29.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…cd8abacked Hawks | 66c | 29.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…b2c2backed Hawks | 67c | 25.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788b…9386backed Hawks | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…eccabacked Hawks | 67c | 19.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Hawks | 68c | 17.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc4…d588backed Hawks | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.